59%Democrats won majorities in house and senate75%US, Israel and Yemen kept ceasefires through October 3174%Resident Evil earned up to $160 million domestically72%Key maritime routes and airspaces stayed open as of October58%Anthropic led AI benchmarks in Code, agents and LiveBench85%US and Iran failed to reach nuclear deal by end of October72%Apple unveiled foldable iPhone as Gemini 4.0 and Fable 5.2+ launched38%China posted 4.3-4.6% annualised growth in Q3 202662%Major Central banks left rates unchanged in October39%Likud won the 2026 Israeli election with 20-24 seats53%Arthur Gea upset Ben Shelton at Shanghai Rolex Masters42%Pete Fry elected mayor of Vancouver

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Sunday, 11 October 2026
Edition of Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sun 11 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Tuesday, 10 November 2026.

Politics

Democrats won majorities in house and senate

The party also captured senate seats in Texas, Michigan and Alaska.

59% certain
lead market 59%next 42%2 venuessettles Wed 4 Nov

Democrats secured majorities in both the house of Representatives and the senate in the 2026 midterm elections. Voters delivered the party a clear mandate across the nation.

In the senate, Democratic candidates won in Georgia, New Hampshire, Alaska, Michigan, Texas and Ohio. Jon Ossoff retained his seat in Georgia, while Chris Pappas added New Hampshire to the Democratic tally. Mary Peltola unseated Dan Sullivan in Alaska, Abdul El-Sayed defeated Mike Rogers in Michigan, James Talarico beat Ken Paxton in Texas, and Sherrod Brown held Ohio.

Read the full report

Politics

Pete Fry elected mayor of Vancouver

Mayoral races across British Columbia finished on October 18, delivering New leaders in Victoria and Surrey.

42% certain
lead market 42%next 36%1 venuesettles Sun 18 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)64%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)68%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot42%Wed 28 Oct
  6. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  7. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep61%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Wed 4 Nov
  11. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes88%Sat 31 Oct
  12. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  13. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  15. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%72%Fri 30 Oct
  16. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola73%Wed 4 Nov
  17. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  18. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  19. Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 340-35930%Tue 13 Oct
  20. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  21. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  22. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes64%Wed 4 Nov
  23. Argentina Monthly Inflation - September: 1.9 to 2.1%65%Tue 13 Oct
  24. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  25. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Likud50%Wed 28 Oct
  26. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change92%Fri 30 Oct
  27. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2439%Wed 28 Oct
  28. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  29. Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?: Yes72%Sun 1 Nov
  30. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry62%Sun 18 Oct
  31. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No85%Sat 31 Oct
  32. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change83%Wed 28 Oct
  33. "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office: 27-30m53%Sun 11 Oct
  34. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%44%Thu 15 Oct
  35. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  36. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+74%Sun 1 Nov
  37. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea: Arthur Gea65%Mon 19 Oct
  38. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  39. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes76%Sat 31 Oct
  40. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  41. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic87%Sun 1 Nov
  42. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No72%Sun 1 Nov
  43. "Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?: 150 - 160m93%Sat 31 Oct
  44. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change83%Wed 21 Oct
  45. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes100%Sat 31 Oct
  46. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino: Karen Khachanov100%Mon 19 Oct
  47. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%57%Fri 30 Oct
  48. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  49. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  50. Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 1.3%+44%Fri 30 Oct
  51. GTA VI released by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  52. South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?: 3.0–3.4%38%Wed 28 Oct
  53. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%41%Thu 15 Oct
  54. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes85%Sat 31 Oct
  55. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries64%Sun 18 Oct
  56. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic80%Sun 1 Nov
  57. "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office: 5-7m53%Sun 11 Oct
  58. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%91%Wed 21 Oct
  59. US headline inflation rate in September (month-over-month CPI): Above 0.4%62%Wed 14 Oct
  60. Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mike O'Reilly72%Sun 18 Oct
  61. Surrey Mayoral Election: Brenda Locke79%Sun 18 Oct
  62. Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026: No change91%Fri 30 Oct
  63. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.5%37%Thu 15 Oct
  64. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change62%Fri 30 Oct
  65. US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  66. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%45%Thu 15 Oct
  67. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto: Alex de Minaur69%Mon 19 Oct
  68. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic58%Sat 31 Oct
  69. Second-best AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic71%Sat 31 Oct
  70. Richmond Mayoral Election: Kash Heed42%Sun 18 Oct
  71. Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Gary Sulz62%Sun 18 Oct
  72. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?: Yes62%Mon 12 Oct
  73. Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?: No69%Thu 15 Oct
  74. Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 3.0-3.5%43%Fri 30 Oct
  75. PPI YoY - September 2026: 5.9%+62%Fri 16 Oct
  76. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%66%Wed 14 Oct
  77. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 80-9926%Tue 13 Oct
  78. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima: Brandon Nakashima53%Mon 19 Oct
  79. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou: Hubert Hurkacz87%Mon 19 Oct
  80. Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?: Yes70%Fri 16 Oct
  81. "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 12-13m56%Sun 11 Oct
  82. Kelowna Mayoral Election: Ron Cannan56%Sun 18 Oct
  83. Coquitlam, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Craig Hodge89%Sat 17 Oct
  84. Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Dylan Kruger49%Sun 18 Oct
  85. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic74%Sat 31 Oct
  86. "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office: 3-4m87%Sun 11 Oct
  87. Fernie, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Harshan Ramadass70%Sun 18 Oct
  88. Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Simon Yu43%Sun 18 Oct
  89. Meta's Watermelon released on...?: No release by October 3143%Wed 14 Oct
  90. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?: No release by October 3126%Tue 13 Oct
  91. Whistler, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Jack Crompton94%Sun 18 Oct
  92. Gemini Argon released on...?: October 1328%Tue 13 Oct
  93. How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?: 20-2427%Mon 12 Oct
  94. New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Patrick Johnstone69%Sun 18 Oct
  95. Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?: No62%Thu 15 Oct
  96. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Animals95%Tue 13 Oct
  97. US Core CPI inflation (month-over-month): September: Above 0.1%64%Wed 14 Oct
  98. Nanaimo Mayoral Election: Leonard Krog93%Sun 18 Oct
  99. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Animals96%Tue 13 Oct
  100. Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?: October 1438%Wed 14 Oct
  101. What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 13): Below: Limited Series97%Tue 13 Oct
  102. Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: <572%Fri 16 Oct
  103. Victoria Mayoral Election: Marianne Alto95%Sun 18 Oct
  104. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Doing Life95%Tue 13 Oct
  105. Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 40-5947%Tue 13 Oct
  106. Vernon, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Victor Cumming61%Sun 18 Oct
  107. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10?: Yes89%Fri 16 Oct
  108. NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 20-3981%Fri 16 Oct
  109. How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?: 190-20948%Mon 12 Oct
  110. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Doing Life94%Tue 13 Oct
  111. "Resident Evil" 4th Weekend Box Office: 7m+99%Sun 11 Oct
  112. Langley Township, BC Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen59%Sun 18 Oct
  113. What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 13): Below: Limited Series96%Tue 13 Oct
  114. CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 20-3947%Fri 16 Oct
  115. Burnaby Mayoral Election: did not happen99%Sun 18 Oct
  116. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  117. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  118. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić68%Sun 25 Oct
  119. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  120. Fed Decision in October?: No change83%Thu 29 Oct
  121. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  122. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  123. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro79%Sun 25 Oct
  124. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  125. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)54%Wed 4 Nov
  126. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane64%Sat 31 Oct
  127. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)91%Wed 4 Nov
  128. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  129. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  130. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No73%Wed 4 Nov
  131. Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC72%Sun 11 Oct
  132. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  133. SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5: Over70%Sun 11 Oct
  134. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  135. IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory: Republican 35-40%50%Wed 4 Nov
  136. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  137. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google70%Sat 31 Oct
  138. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  139. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  140. 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1. FC Köln71%Sun 11 Oct
  141. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  142. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  143. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers43%Sat 31 Oct
  144. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  145. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova87%Mon 26 Oct
  146. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  147. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  148. Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers53%Mon 19 Oct
  149. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia55%Sun 25 Oct
  150. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  151. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No75%Sun 1 Nov
  152. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  153. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?: Yes94%Sun 11 Oct
  154. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)79%Wed 4 Nov
  155. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes70%Tue 3 Nov
  156. Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona71%Tue 13 Oct
  157. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No73%Tue 3 Nov
  158. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins79%Wed 4 Nov
  159. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)72%Wed 4 Nov
  160. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No98%Tue 20 Oct
  161. Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5: Over66%Sun 11 Oct
  162. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No87%Sat 31 Oct
  163. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  164. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No78%Sat 31 Oct
  165. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%47%Mon 26 Oct
  166. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  167. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  168. France United Left Primary Winner: Canceled98%Mon 12 Oct
  169. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  170. Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München92%Tue 13 Oct
  171. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  172. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  173. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow69%Tue 27 Oct
  174. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  175. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No84%Tue 3 Nov
  176. AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF58%Wed 14 Oct
  177. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?: did not happen88%Sun 25 Oct
  178. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  179. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?: No95%Fri 16 Oct
  180. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  181. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  182. Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026: Douglas Ruas88%Sun 25 Oct
  183. CR Flamengo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5: Over75%Sun 11 Oct
  184. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)91%Wed 4 Nov
  185. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No94%Tue 3 Nov
  186. SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04: SC Freiburg61%Sun 11 Oct
  187. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  188. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)75%Wed 4 Nov
  189. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  190. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No99%Tue 3 Nov
  191. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  192. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  193. Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC81%Sat 17 Oct
  194. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No69%Wed 4 Nov
  195. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  196. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes68%Wed 4 Nov
  197. Elche CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: RC Celta de Vigo44%Sun 11 Oct
  198. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  199. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Thunder vs. Hawks: Hawks61%Mon 12 Oct
  201. ESL Pro League Season 24: Winner: Vitality67%Mon 26 Oct
  202. Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?: No94%Mon 12 Oct
  203. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?: No91%Mon 12 Oct
  204. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase91%Thu 5 Nov
  205. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  206. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: No99%Thu 22 Oct
  207. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  208. Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: Everton FC68%Sun 11 Oct
  209. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  210. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No76%Sun 1 Nov
  211. Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Newcastle United FC60%Mon 12 Oct
  212. Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections: did not happen64%Tue 3 Nov
  213. Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Daria Kasatkina: Daria Kasatkina100%Sun 18 Oct
  214. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes60%Tue 3 Nov
  215. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 78%Wed 4 Nov
  216. ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Olympique de Marseille62%Sun 11 Oct
  217. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi40%Sat 31 Oct
  218. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change81%Wed 28 Oct
  219. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No87%Sat 31 Oct
  220. Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  221. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Golden State Valkyries52%Sat 31 Oct
  222. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  223. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA93%Sun 1 Nov
  224. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No91%Tue 3 Nov
  225. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  226. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: Maura Healey (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  227. Singapore Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Verstappen61%Sun 18 Oct
  228. Eagles vs. Jaguars: Jaguars66%Sun 11 Oct
  229. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?: No88%Mon 12 Oct
  230. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  231. Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election: Gadi Eisenkot54%Sun 25 Oct
  232. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 196%Sun 18 Oct
  233. Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?: No57%Wed 21 Oct
  234. Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?: No97%Mon 12 Oct
  235. Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?: No88%Wed 14 Oct
  236. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  237. Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Manchester City FC41%Wed 14 Oct
  238. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club64%Wed 21 Oct
  239. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change94%Fri 30 Oct
  240. Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?: Yes84%Sun 1 Nov
  241. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe90%Tue 27 Oct
  242. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  243. Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 64.5: Under51%Mon 26 Oct
  244. Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC: Atalanta BC61%Mon 12 Oct
  245. Tennessee Senate Election Winner: Bill Hagerty (R)93%Wed 4 Nov
  246. Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?: No80%Mon 12 Oct
  247. Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?: No96%Fri 16 Oct
  248. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  249. Browns vs. Jets: Jets55%Sun 11 Oct
  250. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes100%Sun 1 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.