85%No NATO-Russia clash recorded by end of October 202664%Saudi East-West Pipeline restarted as Gulf shipping lanes stayed disrupted44%Google topped Overall AI leaderboard as Anthropic led coding84%U.S.-Yemen ceasefire held through Oct. 9 as Hormuz traffic stayed disrupted52%Meta opens #3 AI Lab as major tech rollouts conclude71%Israel failed to meet Syria and strike Beirut by October39%ECB left rates unchanged35%Fed left rates unchanged, zero dissent36%Likud won election as Gadi Eisenkot became Prime Minister57%China's Q3 growth stayed within 4.3-4.6% range67%Carlos Alcaraz defeated Denis Shapovalov at Japan Open49%Saudi military action on Oct 8 coincided with surge in Strait traffic

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Sunday, 4 October 2026
Edition of Tuesday, 3 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sun 4 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Tuesday, 3 November 2026.

World

No NATO-Russia clash recorded by end of October 2026

Trump also refrained from announcing a US pullout from NATO before the midterm elections.

85% certain
lead market 85%next 16%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Nov

The alliance completed October without any of the expected escalations. No new NATO Article 4 request was made, and no armed confrontation with Russia was recorded. The United States also held back any public declaration of leaving the partnership.

Monitoring of eastern borders showed continued patrols but no exchange of fire between NATO forces and Russian units. Reports from member states confirmed the absence of hostilities up to 31 October. The observation was logged on Sunday, confirming the peace status for the month.

Read the full report

Economics

ECB left rates unchanged

Eurozone GDP grew between 0.8% and 1.1% in Q3, while Germany posted 1.3% growth.

39% certain
lead market 39%next 36%1 venuesettles Fri 30 Oct

Economics

Fed left rates unchanged, zero dissent

The Federal Reserve kept its policy rate steady while September inflation showed a modest monthly rise.

35% certain
lead market 35%next 22%1 venuesettles Wed 28 Oct

Politics

Tomáš Portlík elected Mayor of Prague

Lukáš Hájek won the mayoral race in Liberec and Richard Vereš took office in Ostrava.

56% certain
lead market 56%next 38%1 venuesettles Sat 10 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Fed Decision in October?: No change81%Thu 29 Oct
  2. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot44%Wed 28 Oct
  3. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes84%Sat 31 Oct
  4. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  5. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  6. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google60%Sat 31 Oct
  7. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  8. Colts vs. Commanders: Colts63%Sun 4 Oct
  9. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Likud54%Wed 28 Oct
  10. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  11. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  12. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change93%Fri 30 Oct
  13. Spread: Colts (-3.5): Colts53%Sun 4 Oct
  14. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?: Yes64%Sun 1 Nov
  15. Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 220-23934%Tue 6 Oct
  16. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Carlos Alcaraz100%Sun 11 Oct
  17. Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 200-21943%Fri 9 Oct
  18. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2436%Wed 28 Oct
  19. Packers vs. Buccaneers: Packers55%Sun 4 Oct
  20. Spread: Packers (-3.5): Buccaneers55%Sun 4 Oct
  21. Spread: Cardinals (-2.5): Giants54%Sun 4 Oct
  22. Rams vs. Eagles: Rams61%Sun 4 Oct
  23. Spread: Bills (-6.5): Bills57%Sun 4 Oct
  24. China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov: Karen Khachanov67%Sun 11 Oct
  25. Spread: Vikings (-3.5): Vikings53%Sun 4 Oct
  26. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  27. Cowboys vs. Texans: Texans68%Sun 4 Oct
  28. Broncos vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5: Over60%Sun 4 Oct
  29. Spread: 49ers (-2.5): 49ers54%Sun 4 Oct
  30. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?: Yes66%Fri 9 Oct
  31. Jets vs. Bears: Bears61%Sun 4 Oct
  32. Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?: Yes85%Sun 1 Nov
  33. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic77%Sun 1 Nov
  34. Spread: Rams (-3.5): Eagles51%Sun 4 Oct
  35. Jaguars vs. Bengals: Bengals58%Sun 4 Oct
  36. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%78%Tue 20 Oct
  37. China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider: Diana Shnaider80%Sun 11 Oct
  38. Spread: Bengals (-2.5): Bengals62%Sun 4 Oct
  39. Dolphins vs. Vikings: Vikings65%Sun 4 Oct
  40. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes99%Sat 31 Oct
  41. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%39%Fri 30 Oct
  42. Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5): Packers80%Sun 4 Oct
  43. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%44%Thu 15 Oct
  44. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 1.3%+41%Fri 30 Oct
  46. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google57%Sat 31 Oct
  47. Spread: Texans (-2.5): Texans55%Sun 4 Oct
  48. Wuning 3: Max Purcell vs Julien De Cuyper: Max Purcell85%Sun 11 Oct
  49. Spread: Ravens (-3.5): Ravens61%Sun 4 Oct
  50. Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: Google44%Sat 31 Oct
  51. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI74%Sat 31 Oct
  52. #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On): Meta52%Sat 31 Oct
  53. Chiefs vs. Raiders: Chiefs62%Sun 4 Oct
  54. Spread: Raiders (-3.5): Chiefs56%Sun 4 Oct
  55. Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?: Google55%Sat 31 Oct
  56. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic61%Sat 31 Oct
  57. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%61%Wed 14 Oct
  58. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?: Yes91%Fri 9 Oct
  59. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic57%Sat 31 Oct
  60. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic76%Sat 31 Oct
  61. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI87%Sat 31 Oct
  62. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%36%Thu 15 Oct
  63. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes71%Wed 28 Oct
  64. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%56%Thu 15 Oct
  65. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  66. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?: Yes90%Wed 28 Oct
  67. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic77%Sat 31 Oct
  68. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?: Unabomber95%Tue 6 Oct
  69. Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?: No91%Sun 11 Oct
  70. Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  71. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 160-17925%Tue 6 Oct
  72. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI89%Sat 31 Oct
  73. Argentina Monthly Inflation - September: 1.9 to 2.1%57%Tue 13 Oct
  74. Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?: No94%Mon 2 Nov
  75. Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No71%Sat 31 Oct
  76. Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election: Gadi Eisenkot61%Sun 25 Oct
  77. Next Mayor of Prague: Tomáš Portlík56%Sat 10 Oct
  78. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  79. How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?: 30-3449%Sun 4 Oct
  80. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change81%Wed 28 Oct
  81. Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 5, 2026?: Yes86%Tue 6 Oct
  82. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.3%65%Thu 15 Oct
  83. How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?: 035%Wed 28 Oct
  84. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 200+30%Fri 9 Oct
  85. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?: East of Eden: Limited Series61%Tue 6 Oct
  86. How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?: 190-20986%Sun 4 Oct
  87. Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?: No74%Mon 5 Oct
  88. Khamenei # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: <598%Tue 6 Oct
  89. Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 80-9946%Fri 9 Oct
  90. Next Mayor of Liberec: Lukáš Hájek68%Sat 10 Oct
  91. Next Mayor of Ostrava: Richard Vereš72%Sat 10 Oct
  92. NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 20-3979%Fri 9 Oct
  93. What will be the top US Netflix show this week?: did not happen99%Tue 6 Oct
  94. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro62%Mon 5 Oct
  95. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lamine Yamal46%Sat 31 Oct
  96. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms22%Sat 10 Oct
  97. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro61%Mon 5 Oct
  98. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  99. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos58%Mon 5 Oct
  100. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  101. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula61%Mon 5 Oct
  102. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers36%Sat 31 Oct
  103. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ97%Tue 6 Oct
  104. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes82%Sat 31 Oct
  105. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?: Yes94%Sun 4 Oct
  106. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  107. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes97%Mon 5 Oct
  108. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%50%Mon 5 Oct
  109. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No93%Mon 5 Oct
  110. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  111. Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?: No97%Mon 5 Oct
  112. Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?: No97%Mon 5 Oct
  113. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  114. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  115. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova84%Mon 26 Oct
  116. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić67%Sun 25 Oct
  117. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%63%Fri 30 Oct
  118. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 2-4%66%Sun 4 Oct
  119. Lima Mayoral Election Winner: Rafael López Aliaga90%Mon 5 Oct
  120. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No95%Tue 20 Oct
  121. Greece vs. Germany: Germany63%Sun 4 Oct
  122. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Elmano de Freitas68%Mon 5 Oct
  123. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No74%Sat 31 Oct
  124. Patriots vs. Bills: Bills67%Sun 4 Oct
  125. # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?: 45M+97%Tue 6 Oct
  126. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)85%Sun 4 Oct
  127. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  128. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+94%Sun 4 Oct
  129. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: Yes76%Sun 1 Nov
  130. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro72%Mon 5 Oct
  131. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis86%Mon 5 Oct
  132. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  133. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No86%Sat 31 Oct
  134. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes98%Mon 5 Oct
  135. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  136. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes78%Mon 5 Oct
  137. Bahia Governor Election Winner: Jerônimo Rodrigues69%Mon 5 Oct
  138. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  139. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No79%Sat 31 Oct
  140. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo98%Mon 5 Oct
  141. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  142. Cardinals vs. Giants: Cardinals54%Sun 4 Oct
  143. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry65%Sun 18 Oct
  144. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia63%Sun 25 Oct
  145. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco87%Mon 5 Oct
  146. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow88%Tue 27 Oct
  147. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite81%Mon 5 Oct
  148. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Las Vegas Aces33%Sat 31 Oct
  149. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?: Yes68%Mon 5 Oct
  150. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  151. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA93%Sun 1 Nov
  152. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No81%Sat 31 Oct
  153. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  154. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: No99%Thu 22 Oct
  155. Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  156. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  157. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  158. Netherlands vs. Serbia: Netherlands84%Sun 4 Oct
  159. Portugal vs. Norway: Portugal71%Sun 4 Oct
  160. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club70%Wed 21 Oct
  161. Wales vs. Denmark: Denmark64%Sun 4 Oct
  162. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 177%Sun 4 Oct
  163. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL70%Mon 5 Oct
  164. Pernambuco Governor Election Winner: João Campos50%Mon 5 Oct
  165. France United Left Primary Winner: Canceled93%Mon 12 Oct
  166. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi43%Sat 31 Oct
  167. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  168. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado74%Mon 5 Oct
  169. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  170. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  171. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  172. "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office: <17m99%Sun 4 Oct
  173. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?: No94%Fri 16 Oct
  174. Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4?: No98%Mon 5 Oct
  175. Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?: No72%Sun 1 Nov
  176. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás: Flavio Bolsonaro97%Mon 5 Oct
  177. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  178. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No86%Sat 31 Oct
  179. Piauí Governor Election Winner: Rafael Fonteles99%Mon 5 Oct
  180. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change83%Fri 30 Oct
  181. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  182. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes98%Sat 31 Oct
  183. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes97%Sun 1 Nov
  184. Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  185. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  186. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  187. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais: Lula60%Mon 5 Oct
  188. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  189. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  190. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  191. Croatia vs. Spain: Spain66%Tue 6 Oct
  192. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?: 44%+75%Sun 4 Oct
  193. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+23%Sun 1 Nov
  194. Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place: Rayssa Furlan95%Mon 5 Oct
  195. Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: Republic of Ireland63%Sun 4 Oct
  196. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: Yes66%Sun 1 Nov
  197. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  198. Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  199. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No98%Tue 6 Oct
  200. Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026: Elmano de Freitas68%Sun 4 Oct
  201. Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place: Eduardo Braga82%Mon 5 Oct
  202. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change86%Sat 24 Oct
  203. Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place: Rui Costa99%Mon 5 Oct
  204. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  205. Bahrain Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Verstappen57%Sun 11 Oct
  206. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL97%Mon 5 Oct
  207. Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place: Marcel Van Hattem82%Mon 5 Oct
  208. Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?: Slaven Kovačević46%Mon 5 Oct
  209. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District: Flavio Bolsonaro98%Mon 5 Oct
  210. Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  211. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  212. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 4?: No97%Sun 4 Oct
  213. Italy vs. Türkiye: Italy74%Mon 5 Oct
  214. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?: No95%Mon 5 Oct
  215. ESL Pro League Season 24: Winner: Vitality30%Mon 26 Oct
  216. Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: did not happen60%Wed 7 Oct
  217. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Filipe Barros69%Mon 5 Oct
  218. Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place: Jaques Wagner73%Mon 5 Oct
  219. "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes): <9m98%Sun 4 Oct
  220. Spread: Lions (-3.5): Lions52%Mon 5 Oct
  221. "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office: 28m+100%Sun 4 Oct
  222. Maranhão Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Braide90%Mon 5 Oct
  223. FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: FC Barcelona86%Sat 10 Oct
  224. Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 28-October 4?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  225. Acre Governor Election Winner: Mailza Assis67%Mon 5 Oct
  226. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place: Carlos Jordy61%Mon 5 Oct
  227. Valorant: LOUD vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B: LOUD56%Sun 4 Oct
  228. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: Yes75%Sun 1 Nov
  229. Bitcoin price on October 4?: 84,000-86,00069%Sun 4 Oct
  230. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 4?: No91%Sun 4 Oct
  231. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place: Domingos Sávio81%Mon 5 Oct
  232. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe98%Tue 27 Oct
  233. Pará Senate Election: 1st Place: Helder95%Mon 5 Oct
  234. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes79%Wed 28 Oct
  235. FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: FC Cincinnati64%Wed 21 Oct
  236. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  237. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No76%Thu 15 Oct
  238. Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place: Maguinha Malta60%Mon 5 Oct
  239. 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️‍⚧️✨: No78%Mon 2 Nov
  240. Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage: Spirit82%Sun 4 Oct
  241. If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  242. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?: No99%Mon 5 Oct
  243. Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  244. Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place: Filipe Barros42%Mon 5 Oct
  245. Pará Governor Election Winner: Dr. Daniel Santos53%Mon 5 Oct
  246. Anthropic IPO in October?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  247. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  248. Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place: Sanderson62%Mon 5 Oct
  249. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place: Marília Campos50%Mon 5 Oct
  250. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes93%Wed 14 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.