AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 15 October 2026
Edition of Saturday, 14 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 15 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Saturday, 14 November 2026.

Economics

Eurozone growth slowed to as low as 1.1% in Q3

South Korea posted 3.4% annual growth while Mexico expanded 3.0%.

32% certain
lead market 32%next 31%1 venuesettles Fri 30 Oct

Eurozone gross domestic product grew between 0.8% and 1.1% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter of 2026, a slowdown compared with earlier expectations. South Korea recorded annual growth of 3.0% to 3.4% for the same period, while Mexico posted a year-on-year increase of 2.5% to 3.0%. Canada's August month-on-month growth was flat, at 0.0% to 0.1%, highlighting divergent performance across the regions.

The Eurozone figure was released on Friday 30 October and fell within the 0.8%-1.1% range, lower than the alternative bands of 1.2%-1.5% and 1.6%-1.9% that had been considered. The modest expansion suggests a deceleration in the bloc's economic momentum.

Read the full report

Politics|World

Gadi Eizenkot became Israel's Prime Minister

Ceasefires with Iran, Yemen and the U.S. persisted while Russia hit Kyiv and Israel attacked Lebanon.

49% certain
lead market 49%next 29%1 venuesettles Wed 28 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot49%Wed 28 Oct
  3. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  6. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes89%Sat 31 Oct
  7. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party63%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes92%Sat 31 Oct
  10. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  12. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  13. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  14. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?: Yes95%Thu 15 Oct
  15. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google68%Sat 31 Oct
  16. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  17. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  18. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  19. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  20. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  21. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)51%Wed 4 Nov
  22. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  23. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  24. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  25. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)86%Wed 4 Nov
  26. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins77%Wed 4 Nov
  27. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No89%Sat 31 Oct
  28. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  29. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No98%Tue 20 Oct
  30. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change93%Fri 30 Oct
  31. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)89%Wed 4 Nov
  32. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  33. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  34. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes76%Wed 4 Nov
  35. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?: Yes87%Sat 17 Oct
  36. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No93%Sat 31 Oct
  37. Seahawks vs. Broncos: Seahawks56%Fri 16 Oct
  38. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No65%Sat 31 Oct
  39. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change80%Wed 28 Oct
  40. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  41. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No83%Sat 31 Oct
  42. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  43. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  44. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  45. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 196%Sun 18 Oct
  46. Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo: Elina Svitolina96%Thu 22 Oct
  47. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  48. US imports Russian diesel by October 31?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  49. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  50. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  51. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?: Yes81%Fri 16 Oct
  52. Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D: MIBR56%Thu 15 Oct
  53. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic91%Sun 1 Nov
  54. Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A: Aurora Gaming72%Thu 15 Oct
  55. Spread: Seahawks (-2.5): Seahawks61%Fri 16 Oct
  56. Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  57. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic91%Sun 1 Nov
  58. Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Envy (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D: Heroic64%Thu 15 Oct
  59. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%60%Fri 30 Oct
  60. South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?: 3.0–3.4%42%Wed 28 Oct
  61. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change59%Wed 28 Oct
  62. Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 2.5-3.0%32%Fri 30 Oct
  63. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google71%Sat 31 Oct
  64. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic59%Sat 31 Oct
  65. Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  66. Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory: Remain 40–60%53%Tue 20 Oct
  67. Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska: Iva Jovic73%Thu 22 Oct
  68. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 200+31%Tue 20 Oct
  69. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic76%Sat 31 Oct
  70. Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM): 0.0 to 0.1%54%Fri 30 Oct
  71. Spread: Patriots (-7.5): Jets54%Sun 18 Oct
  72. Bears vs. Falcons: Bears69%Sun 18 Oct
  73. UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?: 0.4–0.5%38%Fri 13 Nov
  74. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?: October 2120%Fri 16 Oct
  75. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change73%Fri 30 Oct
  76. Panthers vs. Eagles: Panthers61%Sun 18 Oct
  77. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: Google63%Sat 31 Oct
  78. "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office: 30-35m44%Sun 18 Oct
  79. Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal: Jasmine Paolini56%Thu 22 Oct
  80. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic99%Sat 31 Oct
  81. Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B: FURIA56%Thu 15 Oct
  82. Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari: Maria Sakkari70%Thu 22 Oct
  83. Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Overtake (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs: Overtake100%Thu 15 Oct
  84. Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  85. "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office: <8m73%Sun 18 Oct
  86. "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m+84%Sun 18 Oct
  87. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI85%Sun 1 Nov
  88. Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5): BC.Game Esports69%Thu 15 Oct
  89. OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?: Yes75%Sun 1 Nov
  90. Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?: No release by October 3197%Sun 18 Oct
  91. 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?: No55%Mon 19 Oct
  92. Central Bank of Chile decision in October: No change88%Tue 27 Oct
  93. Will Trump livestream an execution?: No75%Sun 18 Oct
  94. Will "Street Fighter" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No79%Mon 19 Oct
  95. Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?: Yes89%Mon 19 Oct
  96. Will "Whalefall" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No91%Mon 19 Oct
  97. Will Muse rank #1 in App Store (iPhone) on October 15th 2026: Yes93%Thu 15 Oct
  98. Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin?: 32% to 34%76%Tue 20 Oct
  99. Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: Yes98%Mon 19 Oct
  100. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $70?: Yes67%Fri 16 Oct
  101. What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 20): Below: Limited Series93%Wed 21 Oct
  102. Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of October 12 2026?: No68%Fri 16 Oct
  103. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 20): Transformers One17%Wed 21 Oct
  104. Fed Decision in October?: No change75%Thu 29 Oct
  105. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane57%Sat 31 Oct
  106. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  107. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  108. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No76%Wed 4 Nov
  109. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić72%Sun 25 Oct
  110. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  111. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  112. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement95%Wed 4 Nov
  113. NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 65-70%56%Wed 4 Nov
  114. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  115. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  116. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  117. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia62%Sun 25 Oct
  118. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  119. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?: Yes90%Thu 15 Oct
  120. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  121. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova86%Mon 26 Oct
  122. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro <4%39%Mon 26 Oct
  123. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers57%Sat 31 Oct
  124. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  125. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  126. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  127. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No82%Sun 1 Nov
  128. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  129. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar60%Wed 28 Oct
  130. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)93%Wed 4 Nov
  131. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro79%Sun 25 Oct
  132. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  133. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)78%Wed 4 Nov
  134. Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 320-33922%Fri 16 Oct
  135. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  136. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)73%Wed 4 Nov
  137. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  138. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2442%Wed 28 Oct
  139. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)72%Wed 4 Nov
  140. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)53%Wed 4 Nov
  141. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  142. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  143. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate53%Wed 4 Nov
  144. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes63%Wed 4 Nov
  145. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  146. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 80%Wed 4 Nov
  147. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow72%Tue 27 Oct
  148. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  149. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  150. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  151. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)94%Wed 4 Nov
  152. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  153. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)92%Wed 4 Nov
  154. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes68%Tue 3 Nov
  155. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No80%Sun 1 Nov
  156. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)75%Wed 4 Nov
  157. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No73%Tue 3 Nov
  158. MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner: Yoshinobu Yamamoto54%Thu 12 Nov
  159. How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?: 22–2335%Wed 4 Nov
  160. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry59%Sun 18 Oct
  161. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  162. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  163. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement86%Wed 4 Nov
  164. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  165. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  166. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19025%Wed 4 Nov
  167. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)91%Wed 4 Nov
  168. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi57%Sat 31 Oct
  169. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  170. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes78%Sat 31 Oct
  171. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase89%Thu 5 Nov
  172. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: No100%Thu 22 Oct
  173. MLB: 2026 AL MVP : Yordan Alvarez89%Fri 13 Nov
  174. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  175. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  176. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No85%Tue 3 Nov
  177. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?: No62%Sun 1 Nov
  178. Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  179. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  180. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  181. CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual): Sydney Kamlager-Dove84%Wed 4 Nov
  182. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA78%Sun 1 Nov
  183. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 94%Wed 4 Nov
  184. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Golden State Valkyries53%Sat 31 Oct
  185. Will Solana dip to $60 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  186. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: Maura Healey (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  187. MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year: Tristan Blackmon12%Thu 12 Nov
  188. LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs: HANJIN BRION56%Thu 15 Oct
  189. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  190. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+94%Sun 1 Nov
  191. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change95%Fri 30 Oct
  192. Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  193. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No93%Tue 3 Nov
  194. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  195. 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 8-10%25%Wed 4 Nov
  196. Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  197. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club59%Wed 21 Oct
  198. Tennessee Senate Election Winner: Bill Hagerty (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  199. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No99%Tue 3 Nov
  201. Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  202. Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo: Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems43%Thu 5 Nov
  203. Minnesota Governor Election Winner: Amy Klobuchar (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  204. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No68%Wed 4 Nov
  205. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change88%Sat 24 Oct
  206. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate62%Wed 4 Nov
  207. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes68%Wed 4 Nov
  208. Oregon Governor Election Winner: Tina Kotek (D)76%Wed 4 Nov
  209. GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round): Republican 3-6%60%Wed 4 Nov
  210. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  211. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  212. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  213. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  214. Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?: No98%Wed 4 Nov
  215. Next Premier of British Columbia: Lorne Doerkson78%Sat 24 Oct
  216. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe95%Tue 27 Oct
  217. "Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?: 150 - 160m94%Sat 31 Oct
  218. Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?: No100%Fri 16 Oct
  219. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  220. New Mexico Governor Election Winner: Deb Haaland (D)93%Wed 4 Nov
  221. Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  222. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  223. Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  224. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?: Yes74%Sun 1 Nov
  225. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad: Lula71%Mon 26 Oct
  226. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas: Lula59%Mon 26 Oct
  227. Bitcoin price on October 15?: 80,000-82,00068%Thu 15 Oct
  228. Jinan: Alexander Shevchenko vs Jay Dylan Friend: Alexander Shevchenko100%Thu 22 Oct
  229. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  230. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change92%Wed 21 Oct
  231. Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Paris Saint-Germain FC60%Tue 20 Oct
  232. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 15?: Yes72%Thu 15 Oct
  233. Rhode Island Governor Election Winner: Helena Foulkes (D)98%Wed 4 Nov
  234. Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny: Shintaro Mochizuki100%Thu 22 Oct
  235. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá: Flavio Bolsonaro73%Mon 26 Oct
  236. South Dakota Senate Election Winner: Mike Rounds (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  237. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?: No79%Sun 1 Nov
  238. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No94%Tue 3 Nov
  239. Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner: Josh Shapiro (D)98%Wed 4 Nov
  240. # of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?: 50–55M92%Sun 18 Oct
  241. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes99%Sat 31 Oct
  242. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  243. Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: Yes92%Wed 28 Oct
  244. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%76%Wed 21 Oct
  245. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 16?: Yes92%Fri 16 Oct
  246. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries82%Sun 18 Oct
  247. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 16?: No98%Fri 16 Oct
  248. Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November: No change76%Wed 4 Nov
  249. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No92%Thu 15 Oct
  250. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará: Lula84%Mon 26 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.