35%Eurozone grew modestly while Germany posted 1.3% plus in Q381%Bank of England raised rates as Japan and Australia held steady53%Democrats won control of house and senate53%Xavier Becerra won California governorship60%Democrats swept Michigan and Ohio governor and senate races78%U.S. and Iran ceasefire held as deal negotiations stalled86%Iran made no moves on Hormuz fees, cables, Kuwait, or uranium86%US blockade persisted and Hormuz traffic stayed disrupted49%Anthropic led most AI benchmarks as Google kept Overall top spot44%Gadi Eizenkot became Israel's Prime Minister as Yashar bloc won31%Trump posted under 180 messages while Khamenei posted under five23%Google Gemini Pro launch delayed past October

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Edition of Friday, 13 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Wed 14 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Friday, 13 November 2026.

Economics

Eurozone grew modestly while Germany posted 1.3% plus in Q3

Canada's output barely moved in August and Mexico failed to release a Q3 GDP figure.

35% certain
lead market 35%next 28%1 venuesettles Fri 13 Nov

The Eurozone recorded modest growth in the third quarter of 2026, expanding between 0.8% and 1.1%. Germany outperformed the region, posting growth of at least 1.3% for the same period. Canada's month-on-month increase in August 2026 was barely above zero. Mexico did not publish a GDP reading for the quarter.

The Eurozone's quarterly expansion was measured at 0.8% to 1.1%. This figure represented the final estimate released on 30 October. It placed the bloc's growth below the 1.2% to 1.5% range that had been anticipated.

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot47%Wed 28 Oct
  3. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep61%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  6. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  7. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No76%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  10. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  11. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google69%Sat 31 Oct
  12. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  14. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  15. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  16. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  17. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  18. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  19. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  20. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins74%Wed 4 Nov
  21. Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 260-27937%Fri 16 Oct
  22. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar58%Wed 28 Oct
  23. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No86%Sat 31 Oct
  24. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  25. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2444%Wed 28 Oct
  26. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)72%Wed 4 Nov
  27. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  28. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  29. Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate53%Wed 4 Nov
  30. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?: Yes85%Sat 17 Oct
  31. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes78%Wed 4 Nov
  32. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No88%Sat 31 Oct
  33. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase89%Thu 5 Nov
  34. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 192%Sun 18 Oct
  35. Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A: Aurora Gaming74%Wed 14 Oct
  36. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  37. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  38. LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs: KT Rolster60%Wed 14 Oct
  39. Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A: Team Falcons74%Wed 14 Oct
  40. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No86%Sun 1 Nov
  41. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change96%Fri 30 Oct
  42. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  43. Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?: Yes75%Thu 15 Oct
  44. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic85%Sun 1 Nov
  46. #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On): Anthropic49%Sat 31 Oct
  47. Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B: Legacy57%Wed 14 Oct
  48. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%57%Fri 30 Oct
  49. Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November: No change81%Wed 4 Nov
  50. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  51. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic90%Sun 1 Nov
  52. Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?: No release by October 3190%Wed 14 Oct
  53. Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 1.3%+48%Fri 30 Oct
  54. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic57%Sat 31 Oct
  55. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google72%Sat 31 Oct
  56. Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D: MIBR56%Thu 15 Oct
  57. Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group C: Astralis85%Wed 14 Oct
  58. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI69%Sat 31 Oct
  59. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic94%Sat 31 Oct
  60. US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  61. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI94%Sat 31 Oct
  62. LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner: KT Rolster54%Wed 14 Oct
  63. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic69%Sat 31 Oct
  64. Counter-Strike: HOTU vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group C: fnatic54%Wed 14 Oct
  65. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 160-17931%Fri 16 Oct
  66. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?: October 1423%Thu 15 Oct
  67. UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?: 0.4–0.5%35%Fri 13 Nov
  68. Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM): 0.0 to 0.1%43%Fri 30 Oct
  69. Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B: FURIA71%Wed 14 Oct
  70. Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?: No release by October 3176%Sat 17 Oct
  71. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic95%Sat 31 Oct
  72. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI88%Sun 1 Nov
  73. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI82%Sun 1 Nov
  74. Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?: did not happen75%Fri 30 Oct
  75. LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs: HANJIN BRION53%Thu 15 Oct
  76. Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5): BNK FEARX69%Wed 14 Oct
  77. Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  78. Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  79. Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: <584%Fri 16 Oct
  80. SpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?: $155-$16030%Fri 16 Oct
  81. Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 80-9936%Fri 16 Oct
  82. CZ # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 20-3965%Tue 20 Oct
  83. Ted Cruz # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?: 100-11941%Tue 20 Oct
  84. Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of October 12 above $135?: Yes92%Fri 16 Oct
  85. Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of October 12 2026?: No92%Fri 16 Oct
  86. Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?: Yes73%Wed 14 Oct
  87. Fed Decision in October?: No change80%Thu 29 Oct
  88. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane56%Sat 31 Oct
  89. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)63%Wed 4 Nov
  90. VA-06 House Election Winner: Ben Cline (R)88%Wed 4 Nov
  91. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  92. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić75%Sun 25 Oct
  93. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes92%Sat 31 Oct
  94. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  95. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  96. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  97. NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory: Republican 0-3%56%Wed 4 Nov
  98. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?: Yes94%Thu 15 Oct
  99. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  100. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement90%Wed 4 Nov
  101. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  102. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia62%Sun 25 Oct
  103. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  104. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  105. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  106. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova86%Mon 26 Oct
  107. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  108. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  109. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%43%Mon 26 Oct
  110. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  111. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  112. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  113. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers43%Sat 31 Oct
  114. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  115. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?: Yes92%Wed 14 Oct
  116. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: Yes76%Sun 1 Nov
  117. Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Manchester City FC67%Wed 14 Oct
  118. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  119. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)86%Wed 4 Nov
  120. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)72%Wed 4 Nov
  121. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)93%Wed 4 Nov
  122. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)80%Wed 4 Nov
  123. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro79%Sun 25 Oct
  124. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change89%Fri 30 Oct
  125. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  126. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No98%Tue 20 Oct
  127. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  128. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  129. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)53%Wed 4 Nov
  130. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  131. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes64%Wed 4 Nov
  132. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  133. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  134. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 80%Wed 4 Nov
  135. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?: No93%Fri 16 Oct
  136. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  137. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow74%Tue 27 Oct
  138. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  139. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  140. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes68%Tue 3 Nov
  141. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  142. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  143. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%47%Thu 15 Oct
  144. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)75%Wed 4 Nov
  145. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No73%Tue 3 Nov
  146. MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner: Yoshinobu Yamamoto54%Thu 12 Nov
  147. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  148. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry56%Sun 18 Oct
  149. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  150. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No69%Sat 31 Oct
  151. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  152. Seahawks vs. Broncos: Seahawks56%Fri 16 Oct
  153. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar: Rafael Jodar66%Wed 21 Oct
  154. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No82%Sun 1 Nov
  155. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  156. AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF66%Wed 14 Oct
  157. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement84%Wed 4 Nov
  158. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  159. CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual): Sydney Kamlager-Dove79%Wed 4 Nov
  160. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  161. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)92%Wed 4 Nov
  162. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi55%Sat 31 Oct
  163. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  164. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sat 31 Oct
  165. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  166. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: No100%Thu 22 Oct
  167. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA91%Sun 1 Nov
  168. FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund63%Wed 14 Oct
  169. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change84%Wed 28 Oct
  170. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  171. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No85%Tue 3 Nov
  172. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  173. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes74%Sat 31 Oct
  174. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  175. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 93%Wed 4 Nov
  176. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  177. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Golden State Valkyries53%Sat 31 Oct
  178. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: Maura Healey (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  179. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?: No51%Sun 1 Nov
  180. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  181. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+91%Sun 1 Nov
  182. MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year: Henry Kessler32%Thu 12 Nov
  183. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No94%Tue 3 Nov
  184. Will Solana dip to $60 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  185. 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 8-10%25%Wed 4 Nov
  186. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club64%Wed 21 Oct
  187. US imports Russian diesel by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  188. Tennessee Senate Election Winner: Bill Hagerty (R)95%Wed 4 Nov
  189. Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  190. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No99%Tue 3 Nov
  191. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?: Yes84%Fri 16 Oct
  192. Minnesota Governor Election Winner: Amy Klobuchar (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  193. GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round): Republican 30-35%58%Wed 4 Nov
  194. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  195. LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5: Under75%Wed 14 Oct
  196. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No68%Wed 4 Nov
  197. Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo: Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems37%Thu 5 Nov
  198. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  199. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19066%Wed 4 Nov
  200. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change88%Sat 24 Oct
  201. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes68%Wed 4 Nov
  202. Oregon Governor Election Winner: Tina Kotek (D)76%Wed 4 Nov
  203. ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?: Not Extended & Democratic Party92%Wed 4 Nov
  204. Spread: Seahawks (-2.5): Seahawks54%Fri 16 Oct
  205. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  206. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  207. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate62%Wed 4 Nov
  208. "Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?: 150 - 160m96%Sat 31 Oct
  209. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%48%Thu 15 Oct
  210. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  211. Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?: No98%Wed 4 Nov
  212. Rhode Island Governor Election Winner: Helena Foulkes (D)98%Wed 4 Nov
  213. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe97%Tue 27 Oct
  214. Next Premier of British Columbia: Lorne Doerkson80%Sat 24 Oct
  215. Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?: No96%Thu 12 Nov
  216. # of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?: 50–55M80%Sun 18 Oct
  217. Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  218. New Mexico Governor Election Winner: Deb Haaland (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  219. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%73%Tue 20 Oct
  220. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change93%Wed 21 Oct
  221. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  222. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas: Lula65%Mon 26 Oct
  223. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  224. Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?: No75%Sun 1 Nov
  225. Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?: Yes72%Sun 1 Nov
  226. Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  227. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%52%Thu 15 Oct
  228. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?: No76%Sun 1 Nov
  229. Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?: No99%Fri 16 Oct
  230. Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5): Manchester City FC91%Wed 14 Oct
  231. South Dakota Senate Election Winner: Mike Rounds (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  232. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  233. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad: Lula67%Mon 26 Oct
  234. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No94%Tue 3 Nov
  235. Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5: Under72%Wed 14 Oct
  236. Kansas Governor Election Winner: Ty Masterson (R)75%Wed 4 Nov
  237. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes99%Sat 31 Oct
  238. Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: Yes93%Wed 28 Oct
  239. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá: Flavio Bolsonaro84%Mon 26 Oct
  240. Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  241. Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  242. 2H Spread: Bears (-10.5): Bears50%Tue 3 Nov
  243. New Zealand legislative election winner?: Labour Party53%Sun 8 Nov
  244. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No91%Thu 15 Oct
  245. Bitcoin price on October 14?: 82,000-84,00059%Wed 14 Oct
  246. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 14?: Yes98%Wed 14 Oct
  247. How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?: 47–49 and 193–20725%Wed 4 Nov
  248. Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?: No82%Wed 4 Nov
  249. Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?: did not happen83%Mon 26 Oct
  250. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.