AHEAD OF PRINT

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Printed Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Edition of Friday, 13 November 2026

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World

Gadi Eizenkot became Israel's Prime Minister as Yashar bloc won

The Yashar-led bloc secured a parliamentary majority while Likud fell to 20-24 seats.

44% certain
lead market 44%next 26%1 venuesettles Wed 28 Oct3 markets behind this

Israel's Legislative election concluded on Wednesday with the Yashar-led bloc emerging as the largest faction. Gadi Eizenkot was appointed Prime Minister following the vote. Likud secured between twenty and twenty-four seats, a sharp decline from previous elections.

The Yashar bloc was a newly formed parliamentary grouping. It entered the Knesset under Yashar's leadership. Its members filled the seats allocated to the winning faction.

Gadi Eizenkot assumed the office of Prime Minister after the election results were certified. His selection reflected the parliamentary majority held by the Yashar bloc.

Likud captured between twenty and twenty-four seats in the vote. The party held a minority of the Knesset's seats. Its parliamentary presence was limited to that range.

Analysis

The victory of a Yashar-led bloc indicates a shift in Israel's party system, introducing a new player into the Legislative arena. With the bloc holding the largest share of seats, it will dominate coalition talks and set the agenda for the next parliamentary term. This development may alter the balance of power that has long been centered on established parties.

As Prime Minister, he will head a government built around the Yashar bloc's priorities, influencing policy direction and diplomatic posture. The extent to which his government can implement its platform will depend on its ability to secure coalition partners.

Likud's reduction to twenty-to-twenty-four seats places it firmly in the opposition, limiting its capacity to shape legislation. The party will need to reassess its strategy and may seek alliances with smaller factions to retain relevance. The fragmented parliament introduces uncertainty about the stability and composition of the governing coalition.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot, 47% settles Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar, 58% settles Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-24, 44% settles Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · polymarket · see the market
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