72%OpenAI resumed model training by end of October 202661%Democrats win house and senate, sweeping Congress53%Democrats swept six gubernatorial races across west and midwest59%Xavier Becerra won California governor race34%Republicans held 22 to 23 governorships after 2026 midterms44%Google claimed top overall AI model ranking in October83%Hormuz traffic remained disrupted86%Israel-Iran ceasefire held through October89%Israel and Yemen ceasefires hold as Hormuz Strait stays blocked40%Eurozone output grew up to 1.1% in Q3 as ECB held rates64%Major Central banks held rates steady in October 202655%Alberta voters rejected Independence in Referendum

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Edition of Thursday, 12 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Tue 13 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Thursday, 12 November 2026.

Science

OpenAI resumed model training by end of October 2026

The company also failed to launch a consumer device, achieve a cryptanalytic breakthrough, or release an Astra model by the deadline.

72% certain
lead market 72%next 46%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Nov

OpenAI restarted its large-scale model training program before the end of October 2026. The effort concluded without the rollout of any new consumer-oriented hardware by the October 31 deadline. In addition, the company reported no cryptanalytic breakthrough and did not issue an Astra-series model during that period.

The decision to resume training was confirmed on Sunday 1 November, indicating that work on next-generation models had been underway before 31 October. Internal timelines showed that the compute clusters were reactivated in early October.

Read the full report

World

Hormuz traffic remained disrupted

Bab el-Mandeb stayed closed and Houthi forces failed to capture Perim Island.

83% certain
lead market 83%next 24%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Nov

World

Israel-Iran ceasefire held through October

Israel also refrained from accusing Iran of the plane stabbing and avoided military action in Beirut.

86% certain
lead market 86%next 14%1 venuesettles Sat 31 Oct

Science

Gemini 4 Argon launched while Muse topped App Store

Gemini 4 Argon launched on October 13 and Muse hit #1 in iPhone App Store on October 15, with Muse Spark's update delayed beyond October

37% certain
lead market 37%next 13%1 venuesettles Sat 17 Oct

Economics

US Core CPI held at 2.4% in September

September data showed US Core CPI at 2.4% and annual inflation at 3.7%, while Argentina's monthly rise stayed near 2%.

49% certain
lead market 49%next 30%1 venuesettles Thu 15 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)64%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Fed Decision in October?: No change79%Thu 29 Oct
  5. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  6. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep61%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  11. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes89%Sat 31 Oct
  12. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes91%Sat 31 Oct
  14. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  15. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  16. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No92%Wed 4 Nov
  17. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google70%Sat 31 Oct
  18. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%61%Fri 30 Oct
  19. Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 360-37944%Tue 13 Oct
  20. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?: Yes91%Tue 13 Oct
  21. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  22. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  23. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?: Yes90%Thu 15 Oct
  24. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  25. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change90%Fri 30 Oct
  26. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No97%Tue 20 Oct
  27. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No78%Sat 31 Oct
  28. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  29. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?: No93%Fri 16 Oct
  30. How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?: 22–2334%Wed 4 Nov
  31. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No94%Tue 3 Nov
  32. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.7%59%Thu 15 Oct
  33. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry68%Sun 18 Oct
  34. Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa: Dayana Yastremska100%Mon 19 Oct
  35. Wuhan Tennis Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila Samsonova: Liudmila Samsonova100%Mon 19 Oct
  36. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  37. Wuhan Tennis Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynets: Katie Volynets93%Tue 20 Oct
  38. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi44%Sat 31 Oct
  39. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sat 31 Oct
  40. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change88%Wed 28 Oct
  41. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  42. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  43. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  44. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  46. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic88%Sun 1 Nov
  47. Bitcoin price on October 13?: 82,000-84,00059%Tue 13 Oct
  48. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change92%Wed 21 Oct
  49. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%58%Fri 30 Oct
  50. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic88%Sun 1 Nov
  51. Wuhan Tennis Open: Mayar Sherif vs Maja Chwalinska: Maja Chwalinska97%Mon 19 Oct
  52. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change78%Wed 28 Oct
  53. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%49%Thu 15 Oct
  54. Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 1.3%+40%Fri 30 Oct
  55. Will Gemini 4 Argon be released publicly before October 15: Yes70%Wed 14 Oct
  56. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries66%Sun 18 Oct
  57. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google71%Sat 31 Oct
  58. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%62%Thu 15 Oct
  59. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI64%Sat 31 Oct
  60. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 100-11931%Tue 13 Oct
  61. Surrey Mayoral Election: Brenda Locke81%Sun 18 Oct
  62. Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mike O'Reilly69%Sun 18 Oct
  63. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic77%Sat 31 Oct
  64. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change64%Fri 30 Oct
  65. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic56%Sat 31 Oct
  66. Wuhan Tennis Open: Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea: Sorana Cirstea95%Mon 19 Oct
  67. Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Gary Sulz57%Sun 18 Oct
  68. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI87%Sat 31 Oct
  69. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI82%Sun 1 Nov
  70. Richmond Mayoral Election: Rob Howard46%Sun 18 Oct
  71. Gemini Argon released on...?: October 1376%Wed 14 Oct
  72. 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?: No55%Mon 19 Oct
  73. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%86%Thu 15 Oct
  74. Kelowna Mayoral Election: Ron Cannan72%Sun 18 Oct
  75. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No86%Sat 31 Oct
  76. Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?: No release by October 3170%Tue 13 Oct
  77. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic84%Sat 31 Oct
  78. Coquitlam, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Craig Hodge94%Sat 17 Oct
  79. Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Dylan Kruger60%Sun 18 Oct
  80. Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  81. Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory: Remain 40–60%61%Tue 20 Oct
  82. US headline inflation rate in September (month-over-month CPI): Above 0.4%56%Wed 14 Oct
  83. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%52%Wed 14 Oct
  84. Fernie, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Harshan Ramadass65%Sun 18 Oct
  85. Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Simon Yu45%Sun 18 Oct
  86. Whistler, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Jack Crompton98%Sun 18 Oct
  87. Bank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026: No change91%Fri 30 Oct
  88. OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?: Yes72%Sun 1 Nov
  89. Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?: No82%Sun 1 Nov
  90. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?: No release by October 3137%Sat 17 Oct
  91. Has OpenAI made a cryptanalytic breakthrough?: No91%Sat 7 Nov
  92. Nanaimo Mayoral Election: Leonard Krog97%Sun 18 Oct
  93. Argentina monthly inflation: September: Between 1.9% and 2.1%63%Tue 13 Oct
  94. Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  95. "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office: 25-30m44%Sun 18 Oct
  96. Zelenskyy # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 80-9955%Tue 13 Oct
  97. Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: <578%Fri 16 Oct
  98. New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Patrick Johnstone70%Sun 18 Oct
  99. West Vancouver, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sager65%Sun 18 Oct
  100. Vernon, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Victor Cumming63%Sun 18 Oct
  101. "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office: 7m+59%Sun 18 Oct
  102. "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office: <8m53%Sun 18 Oct
  103. Langley Township, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Eric Woodward59%Sun 18 Oct
  104. Will "Street Fighter" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No78%Mon 19 Oct
  105. NYC Mayor # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 20-3981%Fri 16 Oct
  106. US Core CPI inflation (month-over-month): September: Above 0.1%64%Wed 14 Oct
  107. CZ # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 20-3965%Fri 16 Oct
  108. Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: Yes94%Mon 19 Oct
  109. Will "Whalefall" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No67%Mon 19 Oct
  110. Will Muse rank #1 in App Store (iPhone) on October 15th 2026: Yes79%Thu 15 Oct
  111. Netflix (NFLX) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?: $50-$6084%Fri 16 Oct
  112. Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of October 12 2026?: No78%Fri 16 Oct
  113. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30?: Yes100%Fri 16 Oct
  114. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%Wed 4 Nov
  115. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić75%Sun 25 Oct
  116. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot48%Wed 28 Oct
  117. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  118. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  119. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  120. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  121. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane59%Sat 31 Oct
  122. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  123. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)93%Wed 4 Nov
  124. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro79%Sun 25 Oct
  125. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No76%Wed 4 Nov
  126. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)54%Wed 4 Nov
  127. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  128. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  129. OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 25-30%54%Wed 4 Nov
  130. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  131. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  132. Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München79%Tue 13 Oct
  133. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola73%Wed 4 Nov
  134. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  135. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement88%Wed 4 Nov
  136. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  137. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  138. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia63%Sun 25 Oct
  139. Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona75%Tue 13 Oct
  140. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  141. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Milwaukee Brewers46%Sat 31 Oct
  142. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova87%Mon 26 Oct
  143. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)63%Wed 4 Nov
  144. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  145. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  146. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes64%Wed 4 Nov
  147. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  148. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: Yes76%Sun 1 Nov
  149. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  150. RB Leipzig vs. PSV: RB Leipzig73%Tue 13 Oct
  151. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%37%Mon 26 Oct
  152. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Likud50%Wed 28 Oct
  153. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)79%Wed 4 Nov
  154. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes70%Tue 3 Nov
  155. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No88%Sat 31 Oct
  156. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sat 31 Oct
  157. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)72%Wed 4 Nov
  158. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No72%Tue 3 Nov
  159. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2444%Wed 28 Oct
  160. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  161. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  162. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  163. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  164. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  165. Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?: Yes91%Sun 1 Nov
  166. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins80%Wed 4 Nov
  167. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  168. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  169. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 79%Wed 4 Nov
  170. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No86%Tue 3 Nov
  171. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov: Alex de Minaur100%Wed 21 Oct
  172. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  173. MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner: Yoshinobu Yamamoto53%Thu 12 Nov
  174. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow71%Tue 27 Oct
  175. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  176. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  177. Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: Club Atlético de Madrid73%Tue 13 Oct
  178. AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF61%Wed 14 Oct
  179. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  180. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19023%Wed 4 Nov
  181. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)76%Wed 4 Nov
  182. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No88%Sat 31 Oct
  183. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?: Yes65%Sat 17 Oct
  184. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No99%Tue 3 Nov
  185. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  186. Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5: Under51%Mon 26 Oct
  187. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  188. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No68%Wed 4 Nov
  189. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  190. Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Manchester City FC42%Wed 14 Oct
  191. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes67%Wed 4 Nov
  192. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  193. Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?: Oil ≥ $80; D Senate61%Wed 4 Nov
  194. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes78%Wed 4 Nov
  195. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No82%Sun 1 Nov
  196. Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: SK Slavia Praha73%Tue 13 Oct
  197. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: No100%Thu 22 Oct
  198. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+81%Sun 1 Nov
  199. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  200. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  201. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  202. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA89%Sun 1 Nov
  203. LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs: LGD Gaming53%Tue 13 Oct
  204. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  205. Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  206. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club70%Wed 21 Oct
  207. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  208. LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs: Team WE80%Tue 13 Oct
  209. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?: No67%Sun 1 Nov
  210. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Golden State Valkyries53%Sat 31 Oct
  211. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No94%Tue 3 Nov
  212. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No78%Sun 1 Nov
  213. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 94%Wed 4 Nov
  214. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?: did not happen88%Sun 25 Oct
  215. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  216. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: Maura Healey (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  217. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement83%Wed 4 Nov
  218. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase90%Thu 5 Nov
  219. Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC76%Sat 17 Oct
  220. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  221. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes70%Sat 31 Oct
  222. MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year: Andrew Privett14%Thu 12 Nov
  223. Will Solana dip to $60 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  224. Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026: Douglas Ruas88%Sun 25 Oct
  225. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change94%Fri 30 Oct
  226. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?: Yes83%Fri 16 Oct
  227. Tennessee Senate Election Winner: Bill Hagerty (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  228. Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  229. GA-07 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round): Republican 15-20%56%Wed 4 Nov
  230. Minnesota Governor Election Winner: Amy Klobuchar (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  231. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?: Yes71%Sun 1 Nov
  232. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  233. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  234. Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: Tampa Bay Rays55%Wed 21 Oct
  235. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  236. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No89%Thu 15 Oct
  237. US imports Russian diesel by October 31?: No78%Sun 1 Nov
  238. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes52%Tue 3 Nov
  239. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  240. Oregon Governor Election Winner: Tina Kotek (D)76%Wed 4 Nov
  241. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 199%Sun 1 Nov
  242. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change89%Sat 24 Oct
  243. FC Pohang Steelers vs. Johor Darul Ta'zim: Johor Darul Ta'zim65%Tue 13 Oct
  244. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  245. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  246. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13?: No81%Tue 13 Oct
  247. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  248. "Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?: 150 - 160m95%Sat 31 Oct
  249. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  250. Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?: No78%Fri 6 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.