55%Anthropic topped AI Agent benchmark and secured SEC filing62%Saudi East-West Pipeline restarted as Hormuz traffic stayed disrupted74%NATO and Russia avoided direct clash in October32%OpenAI valuation rose to $1.0-$1.1 trillion in October61%Iran struck U.S. base and an Arab nation while keeping ceasefires23%Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms won the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize46%ECB, Bank of Israel, Colombia kept rates steady60%Olivia Chow and other progressive mayors won in October elections34%Yashar won election as Likud lost seats, paving way for Eizenkot51%Broncos cover 20.5-point second-half Spread38%September 2026 CPI rose 0.3% as price pressures stayed low70%Valentin Vacherot upsets Stefanos Tsitsipas at Japan Open

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 2 October 2026
Edition of Sunday, 1 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 2 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Sunday, 1 November 2026.

Science

Anthropic topped AI Agent benchmark and secured SEC filing

The firm also led LiveBench coding and text Arena math tests at the end of October.

55% certain
lead market 55%next 39%1 venuesettles Sat 31 Oct

On Sunday 1 November, Anthropic emerged as the leading performer across several AI benchmark leaderboards that concluded at the end of October 2026. The company topped the AI Agent category, the LiveBench coding track, the text Arena math track, and was recognized for Overall performance. In addition, Anthropic's Form S-1 filing appeared on the SEC's EDGAR system by 31 October.

The AI Agent benchmark placed Anthropic ahead of rivals such as OpenAI, ByteDance and Moonshot. Evaluators measured task completion, adaptability and user interaction, and Anthropic's Agent recorded the highest scores.

Read the full report

Sports

Broncos cover 20.5-point second-half Spread

The Broncos covered their 20.5-point second-half Spread and the Cowboys covered a 21.5-point line on Tuesday.

51% certain
lead market 51%next 50%1 venuesettles Tue 27 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot45%Wed 28 Oct
  2. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms23%Sat 10 Oct
  3. Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  4. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  5. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  6. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes82%Sat 31 Oct
  7. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes75%Sat 31 Oct
  8. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  9. Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?: 200-21944%Fri 2 Oct
  10. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Yashar53%Wed 28 Oct
  11. Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?: No97%Sat 3 Oct
  12. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  13. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)85%Sun 4 Oct
  14. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  15. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change88%Fri 30 Oct
  16. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?: Yes62%Sun 1 Nov
  17. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo99%Mon 5 Oct
  18. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas: Valentin Vacherot100%Fri 9 Oct
  19. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis83%Mon 5 Oct
  20. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes70%Mon 5 Oct
  21. São Paulo Governor Election Winner: Tarcísio de Freitas100%Mon 5 Oct
  22. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2434%Wed 28 Oct
  23. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow86%Tue 27 Oct
  24. Bahia Governor Election Winner: Jerônimo Rodrigues64%Mon 5 Oct
  25. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco85%Mon 5 Oct
  26. China Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Liudmila Samsonova: Liudmila Samsonova100%Fri 9 Oct
  27. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite67%Mon 5 Oct
  28. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change67%Wed 28 Oct
  29. Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]: Yes86%Fri 16 Oct
  30. Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?: No96%Fri 30 Oct
  31. Will the date for the next Israeli legislative election be postponed?: No98%Tue 27 Oct
  32. Pernambuco Governor Election Winner: João Campos70%Mon 5 Oct
  33. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe87%Tue 27 Oct
  34. Piauí Governor Election Winner: Rafael Fonteles99%Mon 5 Oct
  35. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes95%Wed 14 Oct
  36. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL66%Mon 5 Oct
  37. Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner : Jorginho Mello100%Mon 5 Oct
  38. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado63%Mon 5 Oct
  39. Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place: Rui Costa91%Mon 5 Oct
  40. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Deltan Dallagnol73%Mon 5 Oct
  41. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%39%Thu 15 Oct
  42. Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026: Elmano de Freitas72%Sun 4 Oct
  43. Will Russia attack Europe with drones before October 31?: No74%Fri 30 Oct
  44. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Ken Sim97%Sun 18 Oct
  45. Lula vencerá as eleicões presidenciais em 4 de Outubro de 2026?: No90%Sun 4 Oct
  46. How many Israeli elections before government formed?: 160%Tue 27 Oct
  47. Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics?: Yes87%Sat 17 Oct
  48. #2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 2): Cleveland! - Taylor Swift99%Fri 2 Oct
  49. Jingshan: Aliona Falei vs Sara Sorribes Tormo: Aliona Falei98%Fri 9 Oct
  50. Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?: No98%Sun 4 Oct
  51. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%42%Thu 15 Oct
  52. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic90%Sun 1 Nov
  53. Will the 2026 Nobel Prize for Literature recipient be a woman?: Yes54%Sat 31 Oct
  54. Lula participates in debate before first round?: No99%Sat 3 Oct
  55. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change86%Wed 21 Oct
  56. China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov: Karen Khachanov96%Fri 9 Oct
  57. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries60%Sun 18 Oct
  58. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?: Anthropic57%Sat 31 Oct
  59. Second-best AI Lab end of October?: Anthropic57%Sat 31 Oct
  60. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic55%Sat 31 Oct
  61. Will Iran strike US military base at least once before November?: Yes87%Sat 31 Oct
  62. Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?: Yes82%Mon 12 Oct
  63. China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane Parry: Diane Parry70%Fri 9 Oct
  64. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI86%Sat 31 Oct
  65. Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Tito-Dante Marimpietri67%Tue 27 Oct
  66. Winnipeg Mayoral Election: Scott Gillingham64%Thu 29 Oct
  67. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic59%Sat 31 Oct
  68. Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?: No96%Tue 27 Oct
  69. Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?: Bolsonaro90%Mon 5 Oct
  70. Will Israel election happen as scheduled?: Yes88%Wed 28 Oct
  71. Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?: Yes95%Sat 3 Oct
  72. Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner: Steven Del Duca94%Tue 27 Oct
  73. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic73%Sat 31 Oct
  74. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?: Yes93%Wed 28 Oct
  75. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change46%Fri 30 Oct
  76. Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?: Yes61%Sat 31 Oct
  77. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 200+51%Tue 6 Oct
  78. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.5%38%Thu 15 Oct
  79. Will a new scandal emerge involving Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of the first round elections in 2026?: No88%Sat 3 Oct
  80. Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  81. Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k?: No99%Sat 3 Oct
  82. Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026?: Yes74%Sun 1 Nov
  83. Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 10: Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley95%Wed 7 Oct
  84. Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?: <595%Fri 2 Oct
  85. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%51%Thu 15 Oct
  86. OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?: Yes75%Sun 1 Nov
  87. 2H Spread: Broncos (-20.5): Broncos52%Sun 25 Oct
  88. 2H Spread: Titans (-10.5): Browns52%Sun 25 Oct
  89. 2H Spread: Packers (-20.5): Packers53%Sun 25 Oct
  90. 2H Spread: Eagles (-16.5): Eagles51%Tue 27 Oct
  91. 2H Spread: Dolphins (-14.5): Dolphins52%Sun 25 Oct
  92. 2H Spread: Browns (-10.5): Browns53%Sun 25 Oct
  93. 2H Spread: Cowboys (-21.5): Cowboys53%Tue 27 Oct
  94. Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 10: The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore97%Wed 7 Oct
  95. OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?: $1.00-$1.10T32%Sat 31 Oct
  96. 2H Spread: Jets (-2.5): Jets52%Sun 25 Oct
  97. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro56%Mon 5 Oct
  98. Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO? : No95%Sat 31 Oct
  99. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No61%Sat 3 Oct
  100. Fed Decision in October?: No change74%Thu 29 Oct
  101. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Lamine Yamal51%Sat 31 Oct
  102. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No74%Sat 31 Oct
  103. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro75%Mon 5 Oct
  104. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  105. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  106. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  107. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No95%Fri 2 Oct
  108. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes98%Sat 31 Oct
  109. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  110. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  111. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes97%Sun 1 Nov
  112. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No98%Tue 6 Oct
  113. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  114. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2?: Yes90%Fri 2 Oct
  115. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place: Renan Santos60%Mon 5 Oct
  116. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes93%Wed 14 Oct
  117. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No72%Thu 15 Oct
  118. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers28%Sat 31 Oct
  119. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro56%Fri 2 Oct
  120. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  121. Anthropic IPO in October?: No96%Sat 31 Oct
  122. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No96%Fri 30 Oct
  123. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes80%Wed 28 Oct
  124. Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes90%Wed 14 Oct
  125. If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  126. Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll): No66%Tue 13 Oct
  127. Imu will be stronger than Blackbeard AND the final villain of One Piece: No66%Sat 3 Oct
  128. Will Hasan Piker ever admit that he shocked his dog? [ within 1 year ] : No94%Wed 14 Oct
  129. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  130. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google57%Sat 31 Oct
  131. Russia announces new wave of mobilization before November 2026: No84%Sat 31 Oct
  132. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes71%Wed 28 Oct
  133. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sat 31 Oct
  134. Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days: No94%Mon 5 Oct
  135. Will an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  136. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ97%Tue 6 Oct
  137. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes98%Mon 5 Oct
  138. US Average Gas Price Is $4.3800 or more on October 5 2026?: Yes51%Sat 3 Oct
  139. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?: No97%Mon 5 Oct
  140. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula73%Mon 5 Oct
  141. 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?: No52%Mon 19 Oct
  142. Will Timo Kielich win 3 or more races in the 2026 UCI Professional Cycling Season?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  143. Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?: No73%Wed 21 Oct
  144. Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?: No89%Tue 20 Oct
  145. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  146. Will random.org pick 100,000?: No99%Tue 6 Oct
  147. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  148. US Average Gas Price Is $4.3000 or more on October 5 2026?: Yes98%Mon 5 Oct
  149. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova84%Mon 26 Oct
  150. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić70%Sun 25 Oct
  151. Will national gas prices in the US average above $3.60: Yes98%Fri 30 Oct
  152. Will I get a positive pregnancy test in the next two weeks?: No91%Sat 10 Oct
  153. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%56%Mon 5 Oct
  154. Will Ye / Kanye West perform in St. Petersburg on both 10 and 11 October 2026, as planned?: No97%Sun 11 Oct
  155. Will tailcalled think that the Natural Abstractions alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?: No87%Tue 20 Oct
  156. Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?: No95%Sat 24 Oct
  157. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%63%Fri 30 Oct
  158. Will there be a Quebec referendum in the next provincial term?: No76%Sat 3 Oct
  159. Will Paul Seixas defeat Tadej Pogacar in any race during the 2026 season?: No97%Sun 25 Oct
  160. Will Tesla announce on October 1, 2026 that the new Roadster can accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in under 1 second?: No97%Sat 3 Oct
  161. Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?: No98%Tue 27 Oct
  162. US Average Gas Price Is $4.4200 or more on October 5 2026?: No91%Sun 4 Oct
  163. Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?: No90%Mon 5 Oct
  164. Mitch McConnell alive all of October 2026?: Yes93%Sat 31 Oct
  165. Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?: No95%Mon 5 Oct
  166. Will Eliezer and Gretta still be really into each other on October 4th, 2026?: Yes93%Mon 5 Oct
  167. Will the full AD/CVD case on Russian palladium result in a duty order by Oct 31, 2026?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  168. Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon96%Tue 6 Oct
  169. Spain vs. Czechia: Spain83%Sat 3 Oct
  170. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No97%Tue 20 Oct
  171. Will the worst-case ELK problem be solved by Oct 20, 2026?: No96%Wed 21 Oct
  172. Bitcoin price reaches 100k USD by the end of October: No87%Sat 31 Oct
  173. France vs. Italy: France72%Fri 2 Oct
  174. Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of Halloween 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  175. Lima Mayoral Election Winner: Rafael López Aliaga86%Mon 5 Oct
  176. Belgium vs. Türkiye: Belgium72%Fri 2 Oct
  177. Will Calvin Wang submit the 21W.023 Discussion Post Homework on time? (Writing Advice from Stephen King): Yes86%Wed 7 Oct
  178. Ceará Governor Election Winner: Elmano de Freitas71%Mon 5 Oct
  179. Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026.: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  180. Will Russia control at least 85% of the four annexed oblasts at the end of October 2026?: No88%Sat 31 Oct
  181. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  182. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No83%Sat 31 Oct
  183. SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).: No51%Sat 10 Oct
  184. Will tailcalled think that the Infrabayesianism alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?: No89%Tue 20 Oct
  185. Israel and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections?: No97%Mon 26 Oct
  186. Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner: AS98%Sun 4 Oct
  187. Claude Haiku dying in 3 months?: No94%Sat 17 Oct
  188. Will tailcalled think that the Shard Theory alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?: No88%Tue 20 Oct
  189. Will the 46% improvement to the nanogpt speedrun be accepted?: Yes79%Fri 9 Oct
  190. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro82%Mon 5 Oct
  191. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No66%Sat 31 Oct
  192. Will Jacob Pfau think that the Eliciting Latent Knowledge research program has achieved something important by October 20, 2026?: No84%Wed 21 Oct
  193. US Average DIESEL Price Is $6.3000 or more on October 5 2026?: Yes94%Mon 5 Oct
  194. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+88%Sun 4 Oct
  195. US Average Gas Price Is $4.750 or more on any day in October 2026?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  196. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  197. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 2-4%44%Sun 4 Oct
  198. Will I think that the Belief State Geometry research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?: No79%Tue 20 Oct
  199. Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026?: No92%Sat 31 Oct
  200. Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?: Yes99%Mon 5 Oct
  201. Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?: Yes99%Fri 2 Oct
  202. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Las Vegas Aces36%Sat 31 Oct
  203. Will our friend J. get a 6-pack by his wedding in 14 months?: No77%Sat 31 Oct
  204. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia63%Sun 25 Oct
  205. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  206. Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?: No74%Sat 10 Oct
  207. Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?: No97%Sun 4 Oct
  208. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  209. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: No60%Wed 28 Oct
  210. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No81%Sun 1 Nov
  211. Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B: Global Esports72%Fri 2 Oct
  212. Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: Argentina83%Sat 3 Oct
  213. # of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?: 30–35M82%Sat 3 Oct
  214. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  215. Bitcoin $87,500 in October 2026?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  216. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?: Yes73%Tue 13 Oct
  217. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: No99%Thu 22 Oct
  218. Korea Republic vs. Venezuela: Korea Republic74%Fri 2 Oct
  219. Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  220. Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 200-21945%Fri 9 Oct
  221. Will ELK still be a major problem by Oct 20, 2026 (according to me)?: Yes84%Wed 21 Oct
  222. Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison?: No99%Fri 2 Oct
  223. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  224. Spread: Colts (-3.5): Colts53%Sun 4 Oct
  225. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club69%Wed 21 Oct
  226. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 177%Sun 4 Oct
  227. Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?: No74%Sun 1 Nov
  228. Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?: Up74%Fri 2 Oct
  229. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?: No62%Fri 9 Oct
  230. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No76%Sat 31 Oct
  231. LoL: Chinese Taipei vs South Korea - Game 2 Winner: South Korea91%Fri 2 Oct
  232. Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC60%Wed 7 Oct
  233. Croatia vs. England: England69%Sat 3 Oct
  234. Colts vs. Commanders: Colts66%Sun 4 Oct
  235. Mattias Skjelmose leaves LIDL-Trek before the end of the 2026 UCI season?: No95%Sat 31 Oct
  236. Will "Digger" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend: No95%Mon 5 Oct
  237. Will Guadians starting pitcher Gavin Williams finish the 2026 MLB regular season with an ERA below 4.00: Yes99%Mon 5 Oct
  238. NFL Week 4: Will the Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Los Angeles Rams by 3 or more points in Week 4?: No67%Sun 4 Oct
  239. will trump die before halloween ends?: No99%Sat 31 Oct
  240. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  241. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  242. Will Rob Lucci betray/defect the Marines?: No64%Sat 31 Oct
  243. Will Labour win the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?: Yes83%Thu 8 Oct
  244. Within 1 year, will I think Claude Skills are a bigger deal than MCP?: Yes61%Sun 18 Oct
  245. Rams vs. Eagles: Rams61%Sun 4 Oct
  246. Will Android 17 be officially released to consumers by October 31, 2026?: Yes99%Sat 31 Oct
  247. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  248. LoL: Chinese Taipei vs South Korea (BO5) - Asian Games Playoffs: South Korea99%Fri 2 Oct
  249. Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2: Mayweather51%Sun 4 Oct
  250. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi40%Sat 31 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.