Economics
5%
1%
21%
certain
5%.
1%, according to the latest figures.
5% threshold on Friday.
Analysis
5% may have implications for economic policy, but the exact effects depend on various factors.
1% rate is unclear without more information about the broader economic context, which is not available.
What this was built from
Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.
Will the August 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?: did not happen, 94%
US unemployment rate — August 2026: Above 3.7%, 21%
August Unemployment Rate: 4.1%, 34%