Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Wed 2 Sept · not a record of events
Sports
Carlos Alcaraz may not win US open men's singles title
Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz won the title
Thursday, 24 September 2026
34%certain
lead market 34%next 20%1 venuesettles Sun 13 Sept12 markets behind this
Carlos Alcaraz did not win the 2026 US Open men's singles title as expected, with Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz winning the title instead.
Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz did not win the title, as they were eliminated.
Ben Shelton also did not win the title, despite being a contender.
The outcome of the title was not certain, with Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic not winning together.
The winner of the title was either Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz, with Carlos Alcaraz having a lower percentage of winning the title initially.
Analysis
The result of the US Open men's singles title has significant implications for the Tennis world, particularly for American players who have not won a Grand Slam title since 2003.
The fact that Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz did not win the title suggests that the competition was fierce, and other players had a strong chance of winning.
The outcome of the title also affects the standings of top players, including Novak Djokovic, who is 39 and has played limited matches recently.
The win by either Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz indicates a shift in the balance of power in men's Tennis, with new players emerging as contenders for major titles.
Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis): Carlos Alcaraz, 34%settles Sunday, 13 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 63%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 82%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Jannik Sinner OR Ben Shelton win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 92%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 92%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Jannik Sinner OR Taylor Fritz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 94%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Jannik Sinner OR Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 63%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: Yes, 56%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Carlos Alcaraz OR Novak Djokovic win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 63%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Jannik Sinner OR Alexander Zverev win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 79%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 93%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Alexander Zverev OR Ben Shelton win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 71%settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle in the coming weeks, then reported as though they already had.