AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 3 September 2026
Edition of Saturday, 3 October 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 3 Sept · not a record of events

Sports

Alcaraz OR Zverev may win US open title

Alcaraz had 34% chance of winning

34% certain
lead market 34%next 21%1 venuesettles Sun 13 Sept12 markets behind this

Alexander Zverev and Carlos Alcaraz were top contenders for the 2026 US Open men's singles title, but their chances of winning were uncertain. On Thursday, it was determined that Jannik Sinner OR Taylor Fritz did not win the title, and Ben Shelton also did not win. Additionally, Carlos Alcaraz OR Novak Djokovic did not win, but Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz had a possibility of winning.

The possibility of Jannik Sinner OR Taylor Fritz winning the title was ruled out on Thursday, with a certain outcome.

Ben Shelton's chances of winning the title were also determined on Thursday, with a certain outcome.

The possibility of Carlos Alcaraz OR Novak Djokovic winning the title was determined on Thursday, but the outcome was not as certain as the other possibilities.

The possibility of Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz winning the title was determined on Thursday, with a moderate level of certainty.

Analysis

The fact that Jannik Sinner OR Taylor Fritz did not win the title, and Ben Shelton also did not win, suggests that the title may have gone to one of the other top contenders. This could have been Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz, who had a possibility of winning.

The uncertainty surrounding the winner of the title suggests that the tournament was closely contested.

The possibility of Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz winning the title raises questions about the strength of the other contenders. If they did win, it would suggest that they were able to overcome the challenges posed by the other players in the tournament.

The outcome of the tournament Will have significant implications for the Tennis world. If Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz won the title, it would be a significant achievement for them, and would likely have an impact on their future careers. However, without more information, it is difficult to say for certain what the outcome of the tournament was.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis): Carlos Alcaraz, 34% settles Sunday, 13 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 63% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 82% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Jannik Sinner OR Ben Shelton win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 92% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 92% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Jannik Sinner OR Taylor Fritz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 94% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Jannik Sinner OR Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 63% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: Yes, 56% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Carlos Alcaraz OR Novak Djokovic win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 63% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Jannik Sinner OR Alexander Zverev win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 79% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 93% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Will Alexander Zverev OR Ben Shelton win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?: did not happen, 71% settles Thursday, 24 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
Back to the front page This article as Markdown
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle in the coming weeks, then reported as though they already had.