AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Wednesday, 2 September 2026
Edition of Friday, 2 October 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Wed 2 Sept · not a record of events

Politics

Chris Pappas wins New Hampshire Democratic senate primary

Cinde Warmington wins governor primary

76% certain
lead market 76%next 25%1 venuesettles Tue 8 Sept5 markets behind this

Chris Pappas won the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on Tuesday. Cinde Warmington won the New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary, while Maura Sullivan won the NH-01 Democratic Primary and Anthony DiLorenzo won the NH-01 Republican Primary.

Cinde Warmington's victory in the governor primary was over other candidates, including John Kiper, Tom Sherman, and Donovan Fenton.

In the NH-01 Democratic Primary, Maura Sullivan's win came over other candidates, including Stefany Shaheen, Carleigh Beriont, and Heath Howard.

The NH-01 Republican Primary was won by Anthony DiLorenzo, who defeated other candidates, including Hollie Noveletsky and Elizabeth Girard.

Chris Pappas' win in the senate primary was over Karishma Manzur.

Analysis

The outcome of the primaries may have implications for the general election, particularly in the governor's race, where the Republican incumbent is running for re-election. The Democratic winners Will now face their Republican opponents in the November election.

The winners of the primaries Will need to appeal to a broad range of voters in order to win in November.

Without more information about the candidates' strategies and the voters' preferences, it is difficult to predict the outcome of the general election.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

Will Chris Pappas win the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Primary for Senate?: Yes, 96% settles Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · manifold · see the market
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner: Chris Pappas, 96% settles Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
NH-01 Republican Primary Winner: Anthony DiLorenzo, 76% settles Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner: Maura Sullivan, 84% settles Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Cinde Warmington, 97% settles Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · polymarket · see the market
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