52%Democrats swept 2026 Midterms, winning house, senate and key governorships75%US-Iran ceasefire held through October77%Middle Eastern sea lanes and airspace stayed unchanged through October80%Israel kept ceasefire with Iran through October43%Eurozone growth fell below 1% as Germany outpaced bloc51%Leylah Fernandez upset Ekaterina Alexandrova in Wuhan Open22%Houthis attacked Saudi Arabia while Hormuz traffic dropped below 20 ships43%Pete Fry won Vancouver Mayoral race on Oct 1819%Google delayed Gemini Pro rollout past November55%White House posted over 200 updates36%Ayatollah Khamenei posted fewer than five times in early October46%US consumer prices rose 0.6% in September as producer costs jumped 5.9%

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Monday, 12 October 2026
Edition of Wednesday, 11 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Mon 12 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Wednesday, 11 November 2026.

Politics

Democrats swept 2026 Midterms, winning house, senate and key governorships

The party also captured the governorships of California, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, Nevada and the Texas Senate seat.

52% certain
lead market 52%next 47%2 venuessettles Wed 4 Nov

Democrats achieved a sweeping victory in the 2026 midterm elections. They secured control of both the U.S. House and senate. The party also added a string of governorships across the nation.

In the senate, Jon Ossoff won re-election in Georgia, keeping the seat Democratic. Roy Cooper carried North Carolina for the Democrats. Sherrod Brown held Ohio and Troy Jackson held Maine, both for the party. A Democratic candidate also captured the Texas Senate seat.

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)59%Wed 4 Nov
  3. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  6. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 95%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)52%Wed 4 Nov
  10. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)94%Wed 4 Nov
  11. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  12. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  13. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  14. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes91%Sat 31 Oct
  15. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  16. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  17. Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 340-35945%Tue 13 Oct
  18. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  19. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  20. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes64%Wed 4 Nov
  21. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  22. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change93%Fri 30 Oct
  23. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  24. Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandez: Leylah Fernandez100%Mon 19 Oct
  25. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No87%Sat 31 Oct
  26. US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?: Yes75%Wed 4 Nov
  27. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: Felix Auger-Aliassime96%Mon 19 Oct
  28. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Casper Ruud100%Mon 19 Oct
  29. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry64%Sun 18 Oct
  30. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  31. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 197%Sun 18 Oct
  32. Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Mia Pohankova: Iva Jovic51%Mon 19 Oct
  33. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  34. Wuhan Tennis Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Shuai Zhang: Anna Kalinskaya51%Mon 19 Oct
  35. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No77%Sun 1 Nov
  36. Wuhan Tennis Open: Janice Tjen vs Aoi Ito: Janice Tjen100%Mon 19 Oct
  37. Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  38. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%46%Thu 15 Oct
  39. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%58%Fri 30 Oct
  40. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  41. Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 1.3%+43%Fri 30 Oct
  42. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz: Carlos Alcaraz93%Mon 19 Oct
  43. Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?: No release by October 3193%Tue 13 Oct
  44. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Zac de Vries64%Sun 18 Oct
  45. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%48%Thu 15 Oct
  46. Surrey Mayoral Election: Brenda Locke81%Sun 18 Oct
  47. US headline inflation rate in September (month-over-month CPI): Above 0.4%56%Wed 14 Oct
  48. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 80-9936%Tue 13 Oct
  49. Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mike O'Reilly70%Sun 18 Oct
  50. US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  51. Will Gemini 4 Argon be released publicly before October 15: No66%Wed 14 Oct
  52. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?: Yes80%Tue 20 Oct
  53. Richmond Mayoral Election: Rob Howard43%Sun 18 Oct
  54. Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15?: Yes57%Fri 16 Oct
  55. White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 200+85%Fri 16 Oct
  56. Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Dylan Kruger51%Sun 18 Oct
  57. PPI YoY - September 2026: 5.9%+93%Fri 16 Oct
  58. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%54%Thu 15 Oct
  59. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  60. Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Gary Sulz71%Sun 18 Oct
  61. Kelowna Mayoral Election: Ron Cannan60%Sun 18 Oct
  62. Coquitlam, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Craig Hodge92%Sat 17 Oct
  63. Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No81%Tue 13 Oct
  64. Fernie, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Harshan Ramadass67%Sun 18 Oct
  65. Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No90%Tue 13 Oct
  66. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?: No release by October 3119%Tue 13 Oct
  67. Gemini Argon released on...?: October 1334%Wed 14 Oct
  68. Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No95%Tue 13 Oct
  69. Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No90%Tue 13 Oct
  70. New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Patrick Johnstone69%Sun 18 Oct
  71. Will Javier Milei win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No98%Tue 13 Oct
  72. Whistler, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Jack Crompton90%Sun 18 Oct
  73. Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?: No65%Thu 15 Oct
  74. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Animals99%Tue 13 Oct
  75. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Animals99%Tue 13 Oct
  76. West Vancouver, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sager57%Sun 18 Oct
  77. Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner: Simon Yu56%Sun 18 Oct
  78. US Core CPI inflation (month-over-month): September: Above 0.1%64%Wed 14 Oct
  79. Nanaimo Mayoral Election: Leonard Krog94%Sun 18 Oct
  80. Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No94%Tue 13 Oct
  81. Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner: Atsumi Harasawa82%Sun 18 Oct
  82. What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 13): Below: Limited Series98%Tue 13 Oct
  83. Khamenei # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: <588%Fri 16 Oct
  84. How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?: 15-18M94%Wed 14 Oct
  85. Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?: No release by October 3146%Wed 14 Oct
  86. Burnaby Mayoral Election: Mike Hurley98%Sun 18 Oct
  87. Will Andreu Mas-Colell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No99%Tue 13 Oct
  88. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Doing Life98%Tue 13 Oct
  89. Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No97%Tue 13 Oct
  90. Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 14?: No97%Thu 15 Oct
  91. Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?: No79%Mon 12 Oct
  92. Democratic Senate odds on October 16?: 64-66%55%Fri 16 Oct
  93. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Doing Life98%Tue 13 Oct
  94. Zelenskyy # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?: 80-9953%Fri 16 Oct
  95. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 13): East of Eden: Limited Series97%Tue 13 Oct
  96. Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No90%Tue 13 Oct
  97. Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No82%Tue 13 Oct
  98. What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 13): Below: Limited Series98%Tue 13 Oct
  99. Within 1 year, will I think Claude Skills are a bigger deal than MCP?: Yes61%Sun 18 Oct
  100. CZ # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 200+47%Tue 13 Oct
  101. Langley Township, BC Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen55%Sun 18 Oct
  102. Does Claude Opus 5.5 make egregious errors?: No84%Thu 15 Oct
  103. NYC Mayor # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?: 20-3984%Tue 13 Oct
  104. Will Demian Reidel win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No99%Tue 13 Oct
  105. Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No95%Tue 13 Oct
  106. Vernon, BC Mayoral Election Winner: did not happen64%Sun 18 Oct
  107. Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No93%Tue 13 Oct
  108. How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?: <2022%Mon 19 Oct
  109. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  110. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  111. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić63%Sun 25 Oct
  112. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  113. Fed Decision in October?: No change82%Thu 29 Oct
  114. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot45%Wed 28 Oct
  115. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  116. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro79%Sun 25 Oct
  117. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  118. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)54%Wed 4 Nov
  119. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane63%Sat 31 Oct
  120. NY-21 House Election Winner: Anthony Constantino (R)88%Wed 4 Nov
  121. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No74%Wed 4 Nov
  122. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  123. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  124. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%67%Fri 30 Oct
  125. VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 50-55%50%Wed 4 Nov
  126. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  127. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google70%Sat 31 Oct
  128. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  129. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  130. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola72%Wed 4 Nov
  131. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  132. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  133. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova88%Mon 26 Oct
  134. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  135. Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona69%Tue 13 Oct
  136. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia58%Sun 25 Oct
  137. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers35%Sat 31 Oct
  138. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?: No91%Mon 12 Oct
  139. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  140. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)62%Wed 4 Nov
  141. Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Newcastle United FC71%Mon 12 Oct
  142. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  143. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  144. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?: No Hormuz Agreement89%Wed 4 Nov
  145. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: Yes76%Sun 1 Nov
  146. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  147. Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Los Angeles Dodgers57%Mon 19 Oct
  148. Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC: Atalanta BC77%Mon 12 Oct
  149. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Likud50%Wed 28 Oct
  150. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)79%Wed 4 Nov
  151. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes69%Tue 3 Nov
  152. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No98%Tue 20 Oct
  153. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No72%Tue 3 Nov
  154. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No85%Sat 31 Oct
  155. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)72%Wed 4 Nov
  156. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No87%Sat 31 Oct
  157. Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München86%Tue 13 Oct
  158. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%49%Mon 26 Oct
  159. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins79%Wed 4 Nov
  160. AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF62%Wed 14 Oct
  161. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No75%Sat 31 Oct
  162. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2441%Wed 28 Oct
  163. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?: Yes90%Thu 15 Oct
  164. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  165. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  166. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  167. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  168. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  169. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)68%Wed 4 Nov
  170. Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: Levante UD62%Mon 12 Oct
  171. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  172. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No85%Tue 3 Nov
  173. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 78%Wed 4 Nov
  174. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?: did not happen88%Sun 25 Oct
  175. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  176. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?: No93%Fri 16 Oct
  177. Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?: Yes73%Sun 1 Nov
  178. Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: SK Slavia Praha76%Tue 13 Oct
  179. Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026: Douglas Ruas88%Sun 25 Oct
  180. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)91%Wed 4 Nov
  181. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No94%Tue 3 Nov
  182. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  183. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow70%Tue 27 Oct
  184. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)75%Wed 4 Nov
  185. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  186. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No99%Tue 3 Nov
  187. Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC72%Sat 17 Oct
  188. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  189. RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 3.5: Over66%Tue 13 Oct
  190. Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Manchester City FC46%Wed 14 Oct
  191. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No69%Wed 4 Nov
  192. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes67%Wed 4 Nov
  193. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  194. Thunder vs. Hawks: Hawks70%Mon 12 Oct
  195. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change84%Wed 28 Oct
  196. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  197. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.7%51%Thu 15 Oct
  198. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  199. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No82%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 62.5: Under51%Mon 26 Oct
  201. LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs: BNK FEARX67%Mon 12 Oct
  202. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: No100%Thu 22 Oct
  203. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase89%Thu 5 Nov
  204. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  205. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  206. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  207. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes60%Tue 3 Nov
  208. Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections: did not happen64%Tue 3 Nov
  209. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club71%Wed 21 Oct
  210. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)96%Wed 4 Nov
  211. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi42%Sat 31 Oct
  212. Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?: No60%Wed 21 Oct
  213. Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  214. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No87%Sat 31 Oct
  215. New York Governor Election Winner: did not happen96%Wed 4 Nov
  216. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA93%Sun 1 Nov
  217. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Golden State Valkyries54%Sat 31 Oct
  218. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No94%Tue 3 Nov
  219. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change81%Wed 28 Oct
  220. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 94%Wed 4 Nov
  221. Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5): Team Vitality65%Mon 12 Oct
  222. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?: No66%Sun 1 Nov
  223. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  224. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+80%Sun 1 Nov
  225. Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election: Gadi Eisenkot55%Sun 25 Oct
  226. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  227. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No76%Sun 1 Nov
  228. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  229. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes77%Sat 31 Oct
  230. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change94%Fri 30 Oct
  231. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  232. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  233. Tennessee Senate Election Winner: Bill Hagerty (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  234. CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual): Angela Gonzales-Torres76%Wed 4 Nov
  235. Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?: No97%Fri 16 Oct
  236. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes100%Sun 1 Nov
  237. Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?: No Hormuz Agreement83%Wed 4 Nov
  238. LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs: KT Rolster89%Mon 12 Oct
  239. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  240. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?: Yes85%Tue 13 Oct
  241. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes52%Tue 3 Nov
  242. GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round): Republican 6-9%55%Wed 4 Nov
  243. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  244. Acre governor election: Mailza Assis97%Sun 25 Oct
  245. Oregon Governor Election Winner: Tina Kotek (D)78%Wed 4 Nov
  246. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19067%Wed 4 Nov
  247. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change88%Sat 24 Oct
  248. Brazil Selic rate decision — November 2026 COPOM meeting: 25 bps decrease83%Wed 4 Nov
  249. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  250. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.