68%Bank of England raised rates by 25 bps as Oil stayed below $12053%Democrats swept 2026 Midterms, winning senate, house and dozens of governorships84%US maintained Iranian blockade as maritime traffic stayed disrupted48%Google topped Overall AI model rankings in October 202663%Israel kept Iran ceasefire and held Lebanon talks by end of October39%Likud won election and Gadi Eizenkot became Prime Minister35%U.S. producer prices jumped 5.9% in September62%Saudi Arabia avoided ground combat in Yemen and Pipeline attack failed91%OpenAI had Not resumed training on its models28%Taylor Swift hit Billboard #1 while Netflix passed $1082%No leading economist won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics51%Commanders covered Spread against Giants on Sunday

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 9 October 2026
Edition of Sunday, 8 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 9 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Sunday, 8 November 2026.

Economics

Bank of England raised rates by 25 bps as Oil stayed below $120

The Bank of England raised rates by 25 bps and the Bank of Japan left policy unchanged as Oil stayed below $120 in October.

68% certain
lead market 68%next 32%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Nov

On Thursday 5 November the Bank of England lifted its policy rate by a quarter of a percentage point. The move came after the central Bank's assessment of inflation pressures. Earlier in the week, on Friday 30 October, the Bank of Japan announced that it would keep its monetary stance unchanged.

It signaled a continuation of the Bank's effort to curb price growth.

Read the full report

Science

OpenAI had Not resumed training on its models

Anthropic had Not launched a new Claude Fable model, and a different AI system led the performance leaderboard on Oct 12.

91% certain
lead market 91%next 1%1 venuesettles Tue 13 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra89%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot44%Wed 28 Oct
  3. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  4. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep62%Wed 4 Nov
  5. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  6. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)58%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%Wed 4 Nov
  8. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)61%Wed 4 Nov
  9. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  11. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No71%Wed 4 Nov
  12. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No93%Wed 4 Nov
  13. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  14. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  15. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes91%Sat 31 Oct
  16. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)53%Wed 4 Nov
  17. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  18. FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 45-50%56%Wed 4 Nov
  19. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  20. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 96%Wed 4 Nov
  21. Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 320-33928%Fri 9 Oct
  22. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  23. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  24. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  25. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes65%Wed 4 Nov
  26. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)89%Wed 4 Nov
  27. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Likud51%Wed 28 Oct
  28. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  29. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes71%Tue 3 Nov
  30. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins78%Wed 4 Nov
  31. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2439%Wed 28 Oct
  32. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  33. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  34. Argentina Monthly Inflation - September: 1.9 to 2.1%70%Tue 13 Oct
  35. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase89%Thu 5 Nov
  36. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change94%Fri 30 Oct
  37. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  38. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic82%Sun 1 Nov
  39. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?: No68%Sun 1 Nov
  40. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%44%Thu 15 Oct
  41. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  42. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  43. "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office: 30-33m28%Sun 11 Oct
  44. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic81%Sun 1 Nov
  45. Spread: Commanders (-3.5): Commanders52%Sun 11 Oct
  46. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google70%Sat 31 Oct
  47. SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5: Over57%Sun 11 Oct
  48. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic48%Sat 31 Oct
  49. Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?: No96%Sun 11 Oct
  50. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%58%Wed 14 Oct
  51. Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of October 17: Patient Zero - Taylor Swift98%Tue 13 Oct
  52. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 120-13939%Fri 9 Oct
  53. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?: No62%Tue 13 Oct
  54. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.5%35%Thu 15 Oct
  55. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.5%55%Thu 15 Oct
  56. Raiders vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5: Over55%Sun 11 Oct
  57. Georgia vs. Alabama: O/U 51.5: Under53%Sat 10 Oct
  58. Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?: OpenAI99%Sat 31 Oct
  59. Will Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before October 12, 2026?: No94%Sun 11 Oct
  60. Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: OpenAI81%Sat 31 Oct
  61. Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?: OpenAI86%Sun 1 Nov
  62. Spread: Appalachian State (-9.5): Appalachian State52%Sat 10 Oct
  63. Spread: Columbia (-3.5): Marist63%Fri 9 Oct
  64. Spread: Bears (-2.5): Packers53%Sun 11 Oct
  65. PPI YoY - September 2026: 5.9%+41%Fri 16 Oct
  66. Spread: Louisville (-3.5): Louisville51%Fri 9 Oct
  67. OpenAI resumes training on...?: Not resumed by October 2095%Wed 14 Oct
  68. Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?: OpenAI75%Sat 31 Oct
  69. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%40%Thu 15 Oct
  70. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No93%Sat 31 Oct
  71. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?: Anthropic85%Sat 31 Oct
  72. Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No63%Sat 31 Oct
  73. Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?: No69%Thu 15 Oct
  74. Best AI model on October 12?: Other91%Tue 13 Oct
  75. Next Mayor of Prague: Tomáš Portlík51%Sat 10 Oct
  76. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic75%Sun 1 Nov
  77. Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?: Google60%Sat 31 Oct
  78. Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 80-9958%Fri 9 Oct
  79. Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 66 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No93%Mon 12 Oct
  80. Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No82%Tue 13 Oct
  81. Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: Yes88%Sun 1 Nov
  82. Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: <583%Fri 9 Oct
  83. Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No88%Tue 13 Oct
  84. Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?: No62%Thu 15 Oct
  85. "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office: 5-7m63%Sun 11 Oct
  86. Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?: No86%Mon 12 Oct
  87. Next Mayor of Liberec: Tomáš Rec50%Sat 10 Oct
  88. Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 17: The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore99%Tue 13 Oct
  89. US headline inflation rate in September (month-over-month CPI): Above 0.4%62%Wed 14 Oct
  90. Next Mayor of Plzeň: Roman Zarzycký99%Sat 10 Oct
  91. Will Luigi Zingales win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No99%Tue 13 Oct
  92. Will Robert Barro win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No93%Tue 13 Oct
  93. Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No97%Tue 13 Oct
  94. Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No95%Tue 13 Oct
  95. Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No90%Tue 13 Oct
  96. Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?: No87%Mon 12 Oct
  97. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above $10?: Yes91%Fri 9 Oct
  98. Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No89%Tue 13 Oct
  99. Will Demian Reidel win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No99%Tue 13 Oct
  100. Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No94%Tue 13 Oct
  101. Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No93%Tue 13 Oct
  102. What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 13): Animals77%Tue 13 Oct
  103. Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No95%Tue 13 Oct
  104. US Core CPI inflation (month-over-month): September: Above 0.1%64%Wed 14 Oct
  105. Fed Decision in October?: No change83%Thu 29 Oct
  106. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane48%Sat 31 Oct
  107. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Yulia Navalnaya26%Sat 10 Oct
  108. VA-05 House Election Winner: John McGuire (R)89%Wed 4 Nov
  109. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić65%Sun 25 Oct
  110. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)57%Wed 4 Nov
  111. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  112. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  113. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  114. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  115. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google71%Sat 31 Oct
  116. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  117. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers43%Sat 31 Oct
  118. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro79%Sun 25 Oct
  119. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  120. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  121. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?: No91%Fri 9 Oct
  122. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sat 31 Oct
  123. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  124. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova87%Mon 26 Oct
  125. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)54%Wed 4 Nov
  126. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  127. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)62%Wed 4 Nov
  128. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  129. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  130. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: No75%Sun 1 Nov
  131. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  132. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change92%Fri 30 Oct
  133. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  134. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  135. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia59%Sun 25 Oct
  136. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)74%Wed 4 Nov
  137. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No74%Tue 3 Nov
  138. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)72%Wed 4 Nov
  139. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No98%Tue 20 Oct
  140. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No86%Sat 31 Oct
  141. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No84%Sat 31 Oct
  142. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No82%Sat 31 Oct
  143. FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: FC Barcelona76%Sat 10 Oct
  144. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  145. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  146. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No85%Tue 3 Nov
  147. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)69%Wed 4 Nov
  148. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 78%Wed 4 Nov
  149. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  150. US GDP growth in Q3 2026?: ≥3.0%69%Fri 30 Oct
  151. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  152. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%46%Mon 26 Oct
  153. How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?: 22–2337%Wed 4 Nov
  154. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No94%Tue 3 Nov
  155. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  156. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  157. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  158. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?: No89%Fri 16 Oct
  159. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  160. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)74%Wed 4 Nov
  161. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  162. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund72%Fri 9 Oct
  163. Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?: Yes76%Sun 1 Nov
  164. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No99%Tue 3 Nov
  165. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow73%Tue 27 Oct
  166. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Atlanta Dream44%Sat 31 Oct
  167. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No81%Sat 31 Oct
  168. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry67%Sun 18 Oct
  169. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  170. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No70%Wed 4 Nov
  171. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  172. ESL Pro League Season 24: Winner: Vitality43%Mon 26 Oct
  173. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes67%Wed 4 Nov
  174. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 92%Wed 4 Nov
  175. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  176. Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Manchester United FC57%Sat 10 Oct
  177. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  178. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  179. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  180. Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026?: No59%Sun 11 Oct
  181. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 190%Sun 11 Oct
  182. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sat 31 Oct
  183. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  184. Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs: MOUZ60%Fri 9 Oct
  185. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change75%Wed 28 Oct
  186. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?: No91%Mon 12 Oct
  187. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes58%Tue 3 Nov
  188. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli: Flavio Cobolli64%Sat 17 Oct
  189. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  190. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  191. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No92%Tue 3 Nov
  192. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No72%Sun 1 Nov
  193. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+74%Sun 1 Nov
  194. Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  195. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: Maura Healey (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  196. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19037%Wed 4 Nov
  197. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  198. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA91%Sun 1 Nov
  199. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi46%Sat 31 Oct
  200. Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Arsenal FC79%Sat 10 Oct
  201. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  202. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club58%Wed 21 Oct
  203. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  204. Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs: Spirit59%Fri 9 Oct
  205. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert: Arthur Gea100%Sat 17 Oct
  206. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes80%Sat 31 Oct
  207. Thunder vs. Hawks: Hawks63%Mon 12 Oct
  208. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?: Yes84%Fri 16 Oct
  209. Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  210. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes100%Sun 1 Nov
  211. Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?: No78%Wed 14 Oct
  212. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  213. Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Real Madrid CF81%Sat 10 Oct
  214. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  215. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  216. Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs: Aurora Gaming71%Fri 9 Oct
  217. Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: did not happen59%Sat 10 Oct
  218. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes98%Sat 31 Oct
  219. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 9?: No92%Fri 9 Oct
  220. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes52%Tue 3 Nov
  221. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9?: Yes89%Fri 9 Oct
  222. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes63%Tue 3 Nov
  223. Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs: Paper Rex65%Fri 9 Oct
  224. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev: Rei Sakamoto100%Sat 17 Oct
  225. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?: Yes80%Tue 13 Oct
  226. Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?: No90%Fri 16 Oct
  227. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  228. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  229. Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?: No98%Wed 4 Nov
  230. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  231. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change85%Sat 24 Oct
  232. Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?: No97%Mon 12 Oct
  233. Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?: Yes74%Sun 1 Nov
  234. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe92%Tue 27 Oct
  235. FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München70%Sat 10 Oct
  236. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  237. Bears vs. Packers: Bears53%Sun 11 Oct
  238. Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?: No76%Mon 12 Oct
  239. Ethereum price on October 9?: 2,400-2,50052%Fri 9 Oct
  240. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No84%Thu 15 Oct
  241. CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual): Angela Gonzales-Torres70%Wed 4 Nov
  242. Suzhou: Katarina Zavatska vs Renata Zarazua: Renata Zarazua100%Fri 16 Oct
  243. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  244. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: did not happen92%Wed 4 Nov
  245. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9?: Yes97%Fri 9 Oct
  246. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%66%Tue 20 Oct
  247. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?: Yes92%Fri 9 Oct
  248. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9?: No98%Fri 9 Oct
  249. Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card): Ilias Bulaid57%Wed 14 Oct
  250. How many Israeli elections before government formed?: 164%Tue 27 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.