54%Democrats won governorships in six key states85%Iran retained control of Kharg Island and Hormuz traffic stayed disrupted44%Google topped Overall AI model rankings in October82%Israel-Iran ceasefire held through October 3172%OpenAI resumed training but delayed Astra hardware releases36%China posted around 4.5% GDP growth in Q3 202646%Major Central banks left rates unchanged in October63%Multiple European and Saudi matches cancelled in mid-October 202673%Unexpected AI model topped October 12 leaderboard56%2026 Nobel prizes omit women and award Literature to non-English writer72%Raphael Glucksmann won Socialist primary first round59%Roman Zarzycký and Miroslava Ferancová elected Mayor, Prague race stalled

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Thursday, 8 October 2026
Edition of Saturday, 7 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Thu 8 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Saturday, 7 November 2026.

Politics

Democrats won governorships in six key states

Democrats secured the governor's offices in California, Michigan, Arizona, Iowa, Wisconsin and Nevada.

54% certain
lead market 54%next 44%2 venuessettles Wed 4 Nov

Xavier Becerra defeated his Republican opponent to become California's governor. Aaron Ford beat the incumbent Republican to claim Nevada's governorship. Jocelyn Benson, Katie Hobbs, Rob Sand and David Crowley each secured victories in their respective states.

In Nevada, Ford overcame Republican Joe Lombardo. Both races concluded on Wednesday.

Read the full report

Science

Unexpected AI model topped October 12 leaderboard

Anthropic delayed its Claude Fable launch while OpenAI kept training on hold, and an unannounced model led the October 12 benchmark.

73% certain
lead market 73%next 6%1 venuesettles Thu 15 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  2. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  3. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  4. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes91%Sat 31 Oct
  5. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)54%Wed 4 Nov
  6. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  7. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google69%Sat 31 Oct
  8. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  9. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)82%Wed 4 Nov
  10. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  11. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  12. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change92%Fri 30 Oct
  13. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No77%Sat 31 Oct
  14. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  15. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  16. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  17. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change81%Wed 28 Oct
  18. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sat 31 Oct
  19. France United Left Primary Winner: Canceled93%Mon 12 Oct
  20. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi44%Sat 31 Oct
  21. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  22. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?: Yes82%Fri 16 Oct
  23. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%66%Tue 20 Oct
  24. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change97%Wed 21 Oct
  25. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%52%Fri 30 Oct
  26. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  27. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?: Anthropic80%Sun 1 Nov
  28. South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?: 2.5–2.9%36%Wed 28 Oct
  29. Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  30. Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee: Raphael Glucksmann89%Sat 10 Oct
  31. Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On): Google71%Sat 31 Oct
  32. Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?: Anthropic55%Sat 31 Oct
  33. Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 1.3%+51%Fri 30 Oct
  34. Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?: Anthropic93%Sun 1 Nov
  35. OpenAI resumes training on...?: Not resumed by October 2073%Thu 15 Oct
  36. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change46%Fri 30 Oct
  37. Will Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before October 12, 2026?: No95%Sun 11 Oct
  38. Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?: 2.5-3.0%62%Fri 30 Oct
  39. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change81%Wed 28 Oct
  40. Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC - Exact Score: did not happen63%Sun 18 Oct
  41. Burgos CF vs. CE Sabadell FC - Exact Score: did not happen63%Sun 18 Oct
  42. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?: Anthropic75%Sat 31 Oct
  43. Best AI model on October 12?: Other87%Tue 13 Oct
  44. Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?: No91%Sat 31 Oct
  45. French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner: Raphaël Glucksmann94%Sat 10 Oct
  46. Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory: Labour 15%+37%Thu 8 Oct
  47. OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?: Yes72%Sun 1 Nov
  48. Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice - Exact Score: did not happen63%Sun 18 Oct
  49. Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC - Exact Score: did not happen65%Mon 19 Oct
  50. Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio - Exact Score: did not happen63%Sun 18 Oct
  51. Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?: 45-50%38%Thu 8 Oct
  52. NEC vs. Fortuna Sittard - Exact Score: did not happen63%Sun 18 Oct
  53. Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club - Exact Score: did not happen63%Mon 19 Oct
  54. Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club - Exact Score: did not happen63%Mon 19 Oct
  55. Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club - Exact Score: did not happen63%Mon 19 Oct
  56. Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC - Exact Score: did not happen63%Mon 19 Oct
  57. Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?: 30-35%58%Thu 8 Oct
  58. Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha - Exact Score: did not happen63%Tue 20 Oct
  59. Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund - Exact Score: did not happen63%Tue 20 Oct
  60. Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No81%Tue 13 Oct
  61. Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No94%Tue 13 Oct
  62. Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No90%Tue 13 Oct
  63. Next Mayor of Olomouc: Miroslava Ferancová91%Sat 10 Oct
  64. Will Javier Milei win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No98%Tue 13 Oct
  65. Next Mayor of Plzeň: Roman Zarzycký94%Sat 10 Oct
  66. Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place: Ewan Cameron43%Fri 9 Oct
  67. Will Luigi Zingales win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No96%Tue 13 Oct
  68. Will Andreu Mas-Colell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No98%Tue 13 Oct
  69. Will Robert Barro win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No94%Tue 13 Oct
  70. Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No96%Tue 13 Oct
  71. Next Mayor of Prague: did not happen59%Sat 10 Oct
  72. Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No96%Tue 13 Oct
  73. Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No90%Tue 13 Oct
  74. Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?: No90%Mon 12 Oct
  75. Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No88%Tue 13 Oct
  76. Will the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature go to a writer who writes mainly in English?: No56%Thu 8 Oct
  77. Will Demian Reidel win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No97%Tue 13 Oct
  78. Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No94%Tue 13 Oct
  79. Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?: No72%Sat 10 Oct
  80. Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No93%Tue 13 Oct
  81. Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No95%Tue 13 Oct
  82. Will Victor Chernozhukov win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?: No97%Tue 13 Oct
  83. Fed Decision in October?: No change83%Thu 29 Oct
  84. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot45%Wed 28 Oct
  85. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party91%Wed 4 Nov
  86. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane46%Sat 31 Oct
  87. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep63%Wed 4 Nov
  88. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)65%Wed 4 Nov
  89. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms21%Sat 10 Oct
  90. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  91. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%Wed 4 Nov
  92. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  93. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party64%Wed 4 Nov
  94. VA-06 House Election Winner: Ben Cline (R)90%Wed 4 Nov
  95. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić67%Sun 25 Oct
  96. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)57%Wed 4 Nov
  97. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No72%Wed 4 Nov
  98. Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?: No94%Wed 4 Nov
  99. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  100. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes86%Sat 31 Oct
  101. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)88%Wed 4 Nov
  102. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  103. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  104. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No97%Wed 4 Nov
  105. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers42%Sat 31 Oct
  106. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 96%Wed 4 Nov
  107. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro76%Sun 25 Oct
  108. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  109. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?: Yes91%Thu 8 Oct
  110. Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 280-29926%Fri 9 Oct
  111. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola74%Wed 4 Nov
  112. NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 65-70%59%Wed 4 Nov
  113. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  114. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  115. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova86%Mon 26 Oct
  116. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)53%Wed 4 Nov
  117. Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  118. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)65%Wed 4 Nov
  119. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)85%Wed 4 Nov
  120. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes65%Wed 4 Nov
  121. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  122. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  123. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Likud50%Wed 28 Oct
  124. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: Yes73%Sun 1 Nov
  125. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes72%Tue 3 Nov
  126. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  127. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)73%Wed 4 Nov
  128. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No82%Sun 1 Nov
  129. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia59%Sun 25 Oct
  130. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No73%Tue 3 Nov
  131. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)72%Wed 4 Nov
  132. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No98%Tue 20 Oct
  133. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  134. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sat 31 Oct
  135. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No81%Sat 31 Oct
  136. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2438%Wed 28 Oct
  137. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  138. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  139. FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: FC Barcelona79%Sat 10 Oct
  140. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 78%Wed 4 Nov
  141. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No79%Tue 3 Nov
  142. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow75%Tue 27 Oct
  143. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)68%Wed 4 Nov
  144. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  145. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No98%Wed 4 Nov
  146. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  147. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No94%Tue 3 Nov
  148. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)91%Wed 4 Nov
  149. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  150. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)86%Wed 4 Nov
  151. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)74%Wed 4 Nov
  152. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No99%Tue 3 Nov
  153. LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage: JD Gaming74%Thu 8 Oct
  154. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth: Hubert Hurkacz88%Wed 14 Oct
  155. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  156. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Atlanta Dream45%Sat 31 Oct
  157. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  158. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry65%Sun 18 Oct
  159. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No84%Sat 31 Oct
  160. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  161. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No66%Wed 4 Nov
  162. Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?: Yes69%Wed 4 Nov
  163. Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Manchester United FC57%Sat 10 Oct
  164. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins99%Wed 4 Nov
  165. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?: No89%Fri 16 Oct
  166. Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?: Yes73%Sun 1 Nov
  167. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund87%Fri 9 Oct
  168. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  169. Bank of England decision in November?: 25 bps increase92%Thu 5 Nov
  170. Argentina Monthly Inflation - September: 1.9 to 2.1%65%Tue 13 Oct
  171. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)92%Wed 4 Nov
  172. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  173. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  174. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No99%Fri 23 Oct
  175. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  176. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 182%Sun 11 Oct
  177. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: No75%Sun 1 Nov
  178. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No91%Tue 3 Nov
  179. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?: No87%Mon 12 Oct
  180. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)94%Wed 4 Nov
  181. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19048%Wed 4 Nov
  182. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No85%Sun 1 Nov
  183. Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  184. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory: Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%51%Mon 26 Oct
  185. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  186. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA93%Sun 1 Nov
  187. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change95%Fri 30 Oct
  188. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: Yes72%Sun 1 Nov
  189. ESL Pro League Season 24: Winner: Vitality46%Mon 26 Oct
  190. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  191. Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?: No62%Thu 15 Oct
  192. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe87%Tue 27 Oct
  193. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+30%Sun 1 Nov
  194. Minnesota Governor Election Winner: Amy Klobuchar (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  195. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes100%Sun 1 Nov
  196. Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?: No78%Wed 14 Oct
  197. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Nuno Borges vs Facundo Acosta: Nuno Borges100%Wed 14 Oct
  198. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  199. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 92%Wed 4 Nov
  200. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  201. Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  202. Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC60%Sat 10 Oct
  203. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club63%Wed 21 Oct
  204. Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?: Yes77%Sat 31 Oct
  205. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  206. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes98%Sat 31 Oct
  207. Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  208. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes52%Tue 3 Nov
  209. # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?: 100M+98%Sun 11 Oct
  210. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%49%Thu 15 Oct
  211. Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: Cowboys74%Fri 9 Oct
  212. ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?: Not Extended & Democratic Party92%Wed 4 Nov
  213. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes60%Tue 3 Nov
  214. Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11?: No68%Mon 12 Oct
  215. Oregon Governor Election Winner: Tina Kotek (D)78%Wed 4 Nov
  216. Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?: No78%Fri 9 Oct
  217. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  218. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?: Yes71%Tue 13 Oct
  219. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  220. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change86%Sat 24 Oct
  221. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 8?: Yes96%Thu 8 Oct
  222. Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Arsenal FC72%Sat 10 Oct
  223. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Jenson Brooksby: Jenson Brooksby100%Wed 14 Oct
  224. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  225. FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München89%Sat 10 Oct
  226. Spread: Cowboys (-9.5): Buccaneers54%Fri 9 Oct
  227. Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?: No87%Sun 1 Nov
  228. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: did not happen96%Wed 4 Nov
  229. Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Real Madrid CF72%Sat 10 Oct
  230. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?: Yes79%Thu 8 Oct
  231. CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual): Angela Gonzales-Torres77%Wed 4 Nov
  232. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 8?: No93%Thu 8 Oct
  233. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No80%Thu 15 Oct
  234. Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card): Ilias Bulaid56%Wed 14 Oct
  235. Bitcoin price on October 8?: 82,000-84,00062%Thu 8 Oct
  236. How many Israeli elections before government formed?: 164%Tue 27 Oct
  237. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes99%Sat 31 Oct
  238. Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs: 100 Thieves66%Thu 8 Oct
  239. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?: Yes65%Tue 13 Oct
  240. Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?: No82%Mon 12 Oct
  241. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pavel Kotov vs Tallon Griekspoor: Pavel Kotov100%Thu 15 Oct
  242. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  243. Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?: No57%Fri 6 Nov
  244. Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner: Josh Shapiro (D)97%Wed 4 Nov
  245. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?: No69%Sun 1 Nov
  246. US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?: Yes96%Fri 9 Oct
  247. Eagles vs. Jaguars: Jaguars71%Sun 11 Oct
  248. Kansas Governor Election Winner: Ty Masterson (R)76%Wed 4 Nov
  249. Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?: No95%Mon 12 Oct
  250. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.