83%WTI Crude fell to low $85 range in October63%Saudi East-West Oil Pipeline resumed operations70%Russia and Ukraine held a diplomatic meeting but no peace talks75%Israel kept ceasefire with Iran while striking Lebanon35%China's Q3 2026 GDP growth topped 4%36%Fed, ECB, Bank of Israel keep rates unchanged in October42%U.S. consumer price index rose 0.6% in September51%Alex de Minaur upset Hubert Hurkacz at China Open55%Liam Draxl qualified for Shanghai Rolex Masters94%United Left primary cancelled as Socialist Party named Raphaël Glucksmann56%Tomáš Portlík elected Mayor of Prague32%Elon Musk posted over 200 tweets in early October

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Monday, 5 October 2026
Edition of Wednesday, 4 November 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Mon 5 Oct · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Wednesday, 4 November 2026.

Economics

WTI Crude fell to low $85 range in October

The United States also refrained from imposing a diesel export ban and the Iranian blockade remained in place.

83% certain
lead market 83%next 22%1 venuesettles Sun 1 Nov

WTI Crude Oil prices settled in the low $85 per barrel range during October. The United States did not introduce a diesel export ban by the end of the month. The Iranian maritime blockade continued beyond the October deadline, sustaining pressure on global Oil supplies.

The decline reflected a combination of ample inventory and steady demand. The price movement signaled a shift away from the high-price expectations that had dominated earlier in the year.

Read the full report

Politics

Éloïse Coulombe won in Charlesbourg

Patrick Paquet secured Vanier-Les Rivières while other ridings saw newcomers elected.

51% certain
lead market 51%next 48%1 venuesettles Mon 5 Oct

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Fed Decision in October?: No change82%Thu 29 Oct
  2. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?: No96%Sun 1 Nov
  3. US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?: No83%Sun 1 Nov
  4. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ97%Tue 6 Oct
  5. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes83%Sat 31 Oct
  6. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sat 31 Oct
  7. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  8. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  9. Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 200-21947%Fri 9 Oct
  10. Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 240-25943%Tue 6 Oct
  11. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?: Yes63%Sun 1 Nov
  12. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026: No change92%Fri 30 Oct
  13. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?: No77%Sat 31 Oct
  14. Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon98%Tue 6 Oct
  15. France United Left Primary Winner: Canceled98%Mon 12 Oct
  16. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  17. Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  18. Bank of Canada Decision in October?: No Change68%Wed 28 Oct
  19. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?: Yes88%Sun 1 Nov
  20. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: Yes70%Sun 1 Nov
  21. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl: Liam Draxl94%Mon 12 Oct
  22. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%42%Thu 15 Oct
  23. Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  24. China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz: Alex de Minaur57%Mon 12 Oct
  25. China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?: 4.3-4.6%75%Wed 21 Oct
  26. Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  27. IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  28. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change93%Wed 21 Oct
  29. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%43%Thu 15 Oct
  30. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  31. South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?: 3.0–3.4%35%Wed 28 Oct
  32. Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: 0.8-1.1%52%Fri 30 Oct
  33. Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee: Raphael Glucksmann94%Sat 10 Oct
  34. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Linang Xiao vs Federico Cina: Federico Cina96%Mon 12 Oct
  35. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki: Shintaro Mochizuki98%Mon 12 Oct
  36. September Inflation China - Annual: 0.9% to 1.0%56%Wed 14 Oct
  37. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar: Carlos Alcaraz88%Mon 12 Oct
  38. Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?: Yes71%Wed 28 Oct
  39. Quebec General Election: Third Place: PCQ89%Tue 6 Oct
  40. Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?: No68%Mon 5 Oct
  41. What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?: Unabomber96%Tue 6 Oct
  42. Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?: <583%Tue 6 Oct
  43. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Lloyd Harris: Lloyd Harris79%Mon 12 Oct
  44. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October: No change47%Fri 30 Oct
  45. Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Sylvie Tanguay71%Mon 5 Oct
  46. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz: Lorenzo Sonego76%Mon 12 Oct
  47. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Nikoloz Basilashvili55%Mon 12 Oct
  48. Suzhou: Alexandra Shubladze vs Tyra Caterina Grant: Alexandra Shubladze51%Tue 13 Oct
  49. Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Pierre-Luc Brillant70%Mon 5 Oct
  50. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.5%48%Thu 15 Oct
  51. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  52. Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Bernard Sévigny70%Mon 5 Oct
  53. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Alexandre Leduc84%Mon 5 Oct
  54. Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Isabelle Blais87%Mon 5 Oct
  55. Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Patrick Paquet94%Mon 5 Oct
  56. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 160-17942%Tue 6 Oct
  57. Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?: No75%Sat 31 Oct
  58. Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?: Yes76%Tue 20 Oct
  59. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka: Alexander Shevchenko66%Mon 12 Oct
  60. China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev: Daniil Medvedev56%Mon 12 Oct
  61. Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?: 36-3960%Tue 6 Oct
  62. Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Charles Page68%Mon 5 Oct
  63. Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Éloïse Coulombe95%Mon 5 Oct
  64. Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Christian Savard51%Mon 5 Oct
  65. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%51%Thu 15 Oct
  66. Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 200+32%Fri 9 Oct
  67. Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?: 60-6430%Tue 6 Oct
  68. Next Mayor of Prague: Tomáš Portlík57%Sat 10 Oct
  69. Fed interest rate decision — October 2026: No change81%Wed 28 Oct
  70. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Benoit Clermont73%Mon 5 Oct
  71. Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot: Jiri Lehecka65%Mon 12 Oct
  72. What will be the top global Netflix show this week?: East of Eden: Limited Series95%Tue 6 Oct
  73. La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Frédéric Côté89%Mon 5 Oct
  74. Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Frédéric Poulin84%Mon 5 Oct
  75. Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Chloé Fauchon64%Mon 5 Oct
  76. PPI YoY - September 2026: did not happen63%Fri 16 Oct
  77. Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Karine Laflamme90%Mon 5 Oct
  78. How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?: 036%Wed 28 Oct
  79. Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Jean-François Cloutier94%Mon 5 Oct
  80. French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner: Raphaël Glucksmann96%Sat 10 Oct
  81. What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?: The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part95%Tue 6 Oct
  82. Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Andrés Fontecilla82%Mon 5 Oct
  83. What will be the top US Netflix show this week?: A Different World: Season 196%Tue 6 Oct
  84. What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?: Doing Life56%Tue 6 Oct
  85. What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?: East of Eden: Limited Series93%Tue 6 Oct
  86. Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?: No100%Mon 5 Oct
  87. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Élodie Murphy-Gauthier64%Mon 5 Oct
  88. What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?: Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 195%Tue 6 Oct
  89. Khamenei # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: <598%Tue 6 Oct
  90. Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?: PQ 20-2941%Mon 5 Oct
  91. Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner: Marie-Claude Sarrazin86%Mon 5 Oct
  92. Next Mayor of Olomouc: Miroslava Ferancová97%Sat 10 Oct
  93. Zelenskyy # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 80-9944%Fri 9 Oct
  94. Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?: 17+72%Tue 6 Oct
  95. Next Mayor of Brno: did not happen56%Sat 10 Oct
  96. Khamenei # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: <590%Fri 9 Oct
  97. Zelenskyy # posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?: 100-11979%Tue 6 Oct
  98. Next Mayor of Ostrava: Richard Vereš73%Sat 10 Oct
  99. Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats? (Lower Strikes): <131%Mon 5 Oct
  100. NYC Mayor # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 20-3993%Fri 9 Oct
  101. CZ # posts October 2 - October 9, 2026?: 20-3964%Fri 9 Oct
  102. Next Mayor of Liberec: Lukáš Hájek74%Sat 10 Oct
  103. How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?: 6-9M91%Tue 6 Oct
  104. California Governor Election Winner: Xavier Becerra92%Wed 4 Nov
  105. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?: Gadi Eizenkot45%Wed 28 Oct
  106. Which party will win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party93%Wed 4 Nov
  107. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane46%Sat 31 Oct
  108. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: Democrats Sweep65%Wed 4 Nov
  109. Maine Senate Election Winner: Troy Jackson (D)60%Wed 4 Nov
  110. Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)62%Wed 4 Nov
  111. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms18%Sat 10 Oct
  112. Michigan Senate Election Winner: Abdul El-Sayed (D)72%Wed 4 Nov
  113. Ohio Senate Election Winner: Sherrod Brown (D)61%Wed 4 Nov
  114. Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Democratic Party67%Wed 4 Nov
  115. AL-07 House Election Winner: Terri Sewell (D)90%Wed 4 Nov
  116. Wisconsin Governor Election Winner: David Crowley (D)81%Wed 4 Nov
  117. Iowa Senate Election Winner: Ashley Hinson (R)59%Wed 4 Nov
  118. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: No69%Wed 4 Nov
  119. New Hampshire Senate Election Winner: Chris Pappas (D)86%Wed 4 Nov
  120. US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?: Yes90%Sat 31 Oct
  121. Michigan Governor Election Winner: Jocelyn Benson (D)91%Wed 4 Nov
  122. NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?: No91%Sun 1 Nov
  123. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  124. If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?: No96%Wed 4 Nov
  125. North Carolina Senate Election Winner: Roy Cooper (D)95%Wed 4 Nov
  126. MLB World Series Champion 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers30%Sat 31 Oct
  127. Georgia Senate Election Winner: Jon Ossoff (D) 96%Wed 4 Nov
  128. Nevada Governor Election Winner: Aaron Ford (D)54%Wed 4 Nov
  129. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?: No92%Mon 5 Oct
  130. Which company has the best AI model end of October?: Google66%Sat 31 Oct
  131. Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  132. KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory: Republican 30-35%58%Wed 4 Nov
  133. Alaska Senate Election Winner: Mary Peltola73%Wed 4 Nov
  134. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  135. Georgia Governor Election Winner: Rick Jackson (R)55%Wed 4 Nov
  136. Iowa Governor Election Winner: Rob Sand (D)84%Wed 4 Nov
  137. Bulgaria Presidential Election: Iliana Iotova89%Mon 26 Oct
  138. Kansas Senate Election Winner: Roger Marshall (R)68%Wed 4 Nov
  139. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?: Yes64%Wed 4 Nov
  140. Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  141. Arizona Governor Election Winner: Katie Hobbs (D)89%Wed 4 Nov
  142. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić69%Sun 25 Oct
  143. South Carolina Senate Election Winner: Darline Graham Nordone (R)86%Wed 4 Nov
  144. Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  145. Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Likud54%Wed 28 Oct
  146. Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?: Yes72%Tue 3 Nov
  147. China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek: Iga Swiatek100%Mon 12 Oct
  148. Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?: No70%Tue 3 Nov
  149. Texas Governor Election Winner: Greg Abbott (R)73%Wed 4 Nov
  150. Italy vs. Türkiye: Italy74%Mon 5 Oct
  151. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?: No95%Tue 20 Oct
  152. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?: Yes74%Sun 1 Nov
  153. GPT-6.1+ Astra released in October?: No78%Sat 31 Oct
  154. Nebraska Senate Election Winner : Pete Ricketts (R)73%Wed 4 Nov
  155. Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  156. Iran leadership change by October 31?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  157. Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  158. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?: No87%Sat 31 Oct
  159. Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?: Yes79%Sat 31 Oct
  160. Annie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?: No84%Tue 3 Nov
  161. Ohio Governor Election Winner: Amy Acton (D)67%Wed 4 Nov
  162. Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 20-2436%Wed 28 Oct
  163. Florida Governor Election Winner: Byron Donalds (R) 76%Wed 4 Nov
  164. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia62%Sun 25 Oct
  165. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  166. How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?: <2239%Wed 4 Nov
  167. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner: Olivia Chow86%Tue 27 Oct
  168. If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?: No94%Tue 3 Nov
  169. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry67%Sun 18 Oct
  170. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?: No98%Wed 4 Nov
  171. FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: FC Barcelona83%Sat 10 Oct
  172. Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?: No99%Tue 3 Nov
  173. # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?: 100M+95%Sun 11 Oct
  174. Alaska Governor Election Winner : Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins99%Wed 4 Nov
  175. Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?: No88%Sun 1 Nov
  176. Minnesota Senate Election Winner: Peggy Flanagan (D)87%Wed 4 Nov
  177. New York Governor Election Winner: Kathy Hochul (D)96%Wed 4 Nov
  178. WNBA: 2026 Champion: Atlanta Dream34%Sat 31 Oct
  179. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?: No67%Wed 4 Nov
  180. Florida Senate Election Winner: Ashley Moody (R)91%Wed 4 Nov
  181. Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?: Below 19083%Wed 4 Nov
  182. Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?: No100%Sun 1 Nov
  183. Vermont Governor Election Winner: Phil Scott (R)77%Wed 4 Nov
  184. Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  185. Montana Senate Election Winner: Kurt Alme (R) 91%Wed 4 Nov
  186. Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy): No82%Sat 31 Oct
  187. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: No99%Thu 22 Oct
  188. Spread: Saints (-2.5): Falcons62%Tue 6 Oct
  189. Mississippi Senate Election Winner: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)91%Wed 4 Nov
  190. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No100%Fri 23 Oct
  191. Croatia vs. Spain: Spain71%Tue 6 Oct
  192. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?: No92%Fri 16 Oct
  193. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club69%Wed 21 Oct
  194. Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?: Yes59%Tue 3 Nov
  195. Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  196. Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?: No59%Fri 9 Oct
  197. Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?: Yes100%Sat 31 Oct
  198. Best Chinese AI Company end of October?: Xiaomi44%Sat 31 Oct
  199. Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?: No94%Sun 1 Nov
  200. Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC65%Wed 7 Oct
  201. Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?: No84%Sun 1 Nov
  202. Idaho Senate Election Winner: Jim Risch (R)95%Wed 4 Nov
  203. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  204. Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi): No92%Tue 3 Nov
  205. Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?: No90%Sat 31 Oct
  206. 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 8-10%25%Wed 4 Nov
  207. When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?: No release by November 181%Sun 11 Oct
  208. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?: No89%Sun 1 Nov
  209. Falcons vs. Saints: Saints59%Tue 6 Oct
  210. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 5?: No95%Mon 5 Oct
  211. U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026: No97%Mon 2 Nov
  212. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner: Mark Sutcliffe87%Tue 27 Oct
  213. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?: No90%Sun 1 Nov
  214. Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?: Yes82%Sun 1 Nov
  215. Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?: Yes60%Tue 3 Nov
  216. Bank of Japan Decision in October?: No change88%Fri 30 Oct
  217. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes98%Sat 31 Oct
  218. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?: No99%Sun 1 Nov
  219. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?: No97%Sun 1 Nov
  220. Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026: Yes97%Sun 1 Nov
  221. Largest Company end of October 2026?: NVIDIA93%Sun 1 Nov
  222. Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?: No93%Sun 1 Nov
  223. IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?: Yes61%Tue 3 Nov
  224. will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]: No99%Wed 28 Oct
  225. Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  226. Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?: 1000+26%Sun 1 Nov
  227. Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?: No95%Sun 1 Nov
  228. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?: No98%Sun 1 Nov
  229. Oregon Governor Election Winner: Tina Kotek (D)76%Wed 4 Nov
  230. Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?: Yes69%Tue 13 Oct
  231. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No98%Tue 6 Oct
  232. CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual): Doris Matsui73%Wed 4 Nov
  233. Bank of Russia decision in October?: No Change86%Sat 24 Oct
  234. ESL Pro League Season 24: Winner: Vitality29%Mon 26 Oct
  235. Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?: No99%Wed 4 Nov
  236. Massachusetts Governor Election Winner: did not happen97%Wed 4 Nov
  237. GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round): Republican 3-6%66%Wed 4 Nov
  238. Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?: No92%Sun 1 Nov
  239. Rhode Island Governor Election Winner: Helena Foulkes (D)97%Wed 4 Nov
  240. Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?: Yes73%Sun 1 Nov
  241. Bitcoin price on October 5?: 84,000-86,00057%Mon 5 Oct
  242. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5?: Yes98%Mon 5 Oct
  243. Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?: No77%Thu 15 Oct
  244. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?: Yes100%Sat 31 Oct
  245. Will a non-MF group be proved this month?: Yes79%Wed 28 Oct
  246. England vs. Czechia: England76%Tue 6 Oct
  247. FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: FC Cincinnati65%Wed 21 Oct
  248. Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 5?: No86%Mon 5 Oct
  249. Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?: Yes61%Wed 4 Nov
  250. Argentina vs. Benin: Argentina77%Tue 6 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.