33%Fed left rates unchanged on October 1634%September CPI rose 0.6% as Unemployment held at 4.1%43%Lula won Brazil's Presidential first round as Bolsonaro took second30%Liberal Party secured most Senate seats in 2026 election63%Łukasz Gibała won Kraków Mayoral race56%Miley Cyrus' 'Bass Persuades' sold 60-70k in first week86%Anthropic topped AI benchmarks and won its first enterprise customer98%NVIDIA topped corporate rankings as AI index passed 6563%Putin remained Russia's president through September 202692%No US-Iran Hormuz agreement reached and Iran kept fees unchanged64%US and China sealed tariff deal as Canada posted marginal growth42%Avengers: Endgame re-release topped Weekend Box Office

AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Friday, 25 September 2026
Edition of Sunday, 25 October 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Fri 25 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Sunday, 25 October 2026.

Economics

Fed left rates unchanged on October 16

Core CPI rose 0.2% in September while Israel kept its policy rate unchanged.

33% certain
lead market 33%next 17%1 venuesettles Fri 16 Oct

On October 16 the Federal Reserve kept its target rate unchanged, signaling no immediate tightening. Five days later, on October 21, the Bank of Israel also left its policy rate steady, mirroring the Fed's stance. The latest data showed Core consumer prices in the United States rose 0.2% month-over-month in September.

By rejecting a 25-basis-point Hike, the central Bank indicated that recent price pressures remained modest. The unchanged stance kept borrowing costs at their current level for borrowers and lenders.

Read the full report

Everything settling ahead

The full slate behind this edition, whether or not it made the paper.

  1. Brazil Presidential Election: Flávio Bolsonaro53%Sun 4 Oct
  2. 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027: No58%Sat 3 Oct
  3. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: Flávio Bolsonaro75%Sun 4 Oct
  4. Which company has the best AI model end of September?: Anthropic95%Wed 30 Sept
  5. Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  6. Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?: Yes98%Wed 30 Sept
  7. Brazil’s Next President Elect: Flávio Bolsonaro51%Fri 2 Oct
  8. Largest Company end of September?: NVIDIA99%Thu 1 Oct
  9. Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  10. Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  11. US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  12. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory: Lula da Silva <5%65%Mon 5 Oct
  13. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won: PL90%Sun 4 Oct
  14. Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  15. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: Lula75%Mon 5 Oct
  16. Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?: Anthropic91%Wed 30 Sept
  17. Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner: Pam Alexis63%Sat 26 Sept
  18. Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?: Anthropic92%Thu 1 Oct
  19. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?: 4-6%43%Sun 4 Oct
  20. "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office: 22m+55%Sun 27 Sept
  21. Central Bank of Colombia decision in September: No change73%Thu 1 Oct
  22. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás: Flavio Bolsonaro87%Sun 4 Oct
  23. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?: 39%+90%Sun 4 Oct
  24. September Inflation US - Annual: 3.6%47%Thu 15 Oct
  25. Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?: No63%Sun 27 Sept
  26. Will the Anthropic-Blackstone enterprise AI services firm name its first customer by Sept 30, 2026?: Yes86%Wed 30 Sept
  27. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?: Anthropic96%Thu 1 Oct
  28. Will the Israeli government significantly undermine the next election?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  29. Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?: Yes95%Wed 14 Oct
  30. São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place: André do Prado49%Sun 4 Oct
  31. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held: PL94%Mon 5 Oct
  32. São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place: Guilherme Derrite74%Sun 4 Oct
  33. Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place: Marcelo Crivella50%Sun 4 Oct
  34. Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place: Bia Kicis66%Mon 5 Oct
  35. Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Bolsonaro46%Mon 5 Oct
  36. Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?: Anthropic95%Wed 30 Sept
  37. Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place: Filipe Barros64%Mon 5 Oct
  38. Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place: Carlos Viana30%Sun 4 Oct
  39. Acre Senate Election: 1st Place: Mara Rocha40%Mon 5 Oct
  40. Bank of Israel Decision in October?: No Change86%Wed 21 Oct
  41. September Inflation US - Monthly: 0.6%38%Thu 15 Oct
  42. Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  43. Will Drake release a new album by September 30?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  44. Will OpenAI and Anthropic’s S1s be a “massacre” for AI model companies?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  45. Kraków Mayoral Election Winner: Łukasz Gibała99%Sun 27 Sept
  46. Core CPI YoY - September 2026: 2.4%47%Thu 15 Oct
  47. #1 Box Office This Weekend?: Avengers: Endgame Encore70%Sun 27 Sept
  48. Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  49. September Unemployment Rate: 4.1%34%Fri 2 Oct
  50. "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office: 17-20m42%Sun 27 Sept
  51. US x China tariff agreement by September 30?: Yes86%Thu 1 Oct
  52. Miley Cyrus 'Bass Persuades' First Week Album Sales?: 60-70k56%Sat 26 Sept
  53. Core CPI MoM - September 2026: 0.2%47%Thu 15 Oct
  54. Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM): 0.0 to 0.1%64%Tue 29 Sept
  55. PPI YoY - September 2026: 5.9%+33%Fri 16 Oct
  56. No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by October 15?: No67%Fri 16 Oct
  57. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms22%Sat 10 Oct
  58. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  59. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  60. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  61. Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  62. Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?: Yes89%Fri 2 Oct
  63. Trump out as President by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  64. Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?: Yes98%Wed 7 Oct
  65. Iran leadership change by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  66. Will Jacinda Ardern return to NZ Parliament by 2026?: No99%Thu 15 Oct
  67. Will Starship Ship 40 be recovered to shore?: Yes96%Wed 30 Sept
  68. US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  69. Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  70. US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  71. California Prop 50 map used in 2026 election?: Yes96%Thu 1 Oct
  72. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  73. Will Starship refuel in orbit before Starship is successfully caught?: No96%Fri 2 Oct
  74. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?: No92%Thu 1 Oct
  75. [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  76. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  77. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?: Yes93%Fri 25 Sept
  78. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?: No87%Thu 1 Oct
  79. Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  80. Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  81. Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?: Yes99%Thu 8 Oct
  82. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  83. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  84. US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?: No97%Wed 30 Sept
  85. Will Xi Jinping safely return to China after visiting the US?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  86. Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  87. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  88. Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  89. Quebec General Election Winner: PQ95%Mon 5 Oct
  90. Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30?: Yes99%Tue 29 Sept
  91. Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes92%Wed 14 Oct
  92. Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  93. Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  94. Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  95. Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?: No83%Tue 29 Sept
  96. AI beats human baseline on PostTrainBench by 1 Oct 2026?: No71%Tue 6 Oct
  97. Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?: Yes90%Wed 14 Oct
  98. Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll): No66%Tue 13 Oct
  99. Will Shohei Ohtani hit at least 43 home runs in 2026?: No99%Sun 27 Sept
  100. Imu will be stronger than Blackbeard AND the final villain of One Piece: No67%Sat 3 Oct
  101. Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?: 200-21948%Fri 25 Sept
  102. US Average Gas Price Is $4.3500 or more on September 28 2026?: Yes99%Mon 28 Sept
  103. MLB: Home Runs Leader: Kyle Schwarber45%Sun 11 Oct
  104. Clarity Act will pass in September: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  105. Will Trump and Xi meet in September 2026?: Yes99%Wed 30 Sept
  106. Will Hasan Piker ever admit that he shocked his dog? [ within 1 year ] : No94%Wed 14 Oct
  107. Best Chinese AI Company end of September?: Alibaba90%Wed 30 Sept
  108. Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  109. US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026?: Yes99%Thu 1 Oct
  110. DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  111. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  112. Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  113. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  114. Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 200.00 USDC Base by September 28th 11:59 pm UTC: No92%Mon 28 Sept
  115. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?: No93%Thu 1 Oct
  116. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  117. Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?: No83%Wed 21 Oct
  118. 2026 Alberta referendum asks about secession from Canada?: No51%Mon 19 Oct
  119. MLB: RBIs Leader: Pete Alonso62%Fri 16 Oct
  120. Will tailcalled think that the Brain-Like AGI alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?: No89%Tue 20 Oct
  121. "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?: 950 - 960m98%Thu 1 Oct
  122. MLB: Triples Leader: Corbin Carroll88%Fri 16 Oct
  123. Australia vs. Brazil: Brazil80%Fri 25 Sept
  124. Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Cleitinho Azevedo85%Sun 4 Oct
  125. Will the FY27 NASA Budget be larger than FY25?: Yes61%Thu 1 Oct
  126. Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  127. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  128. Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  129. Will Sanji be a confirmed Conqueror’s Haki User during the battle against the God's Knights on Elbaph?: Yes87%Wed 30 Sept
  130. Will the next full gemini model be frontier at coding?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  131. Bitcoin $87,500 in September 2026?: No68%Wed 30 Sept
  132. Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  133. Will Solana dip to $70 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  134. MLB: Strikeouts Leader - Pitcher: Dylan Cease34%Fri 16 Oct
  135. Will an ICE Agent engage in an "Unjustified" shooting at a U.S. airport before the 2026 DHS Shutdown ends?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  136. Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  137. MLB: Batting Average Leader: Yordan Alvarez78%Mon 28 Sept
  138. Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?: No85%Thu 1 Oct
  139. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  140. Will I remain in Montreal past September?: Yes93%Wed 30 Sept
  141. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  142. MLB: Doubles Leader: Bryan Reynolds59%Sun 11 Oct
  143. Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?: No66%Thu 1 Oct
  144. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  145. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  146. Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026: Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)84%Sun 4 Oct
  147. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  148. Will tailcalled think that the Natural Abstractions alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?: No87%Tue 20 Oct
  149. Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days: No90%Mon 5 Oct
  150. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  151. Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?: No96%Sat 24 Oct
  152. US Average Gas Price Is $4.400 or more on October 1 2026?: Yes93%Thu 1 Oct
  153. Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $50 before Sep 25?: Yes67%Fri 25 Sept
  154. Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  155. Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  156. Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner: AS91%Sat 3 Oct
  157. Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?: No97%Sat 3 Oct
  158. Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  159. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  160. Will a US senator die before October 1st?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  161. Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  162. Will Eliezer and Gretta still be really into each other on October 4th, 2026?: Yes93%Mon 5 Oct
  163. Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?: No78%Thu 1 Oct
  164. will Kalorm survive to the end of 'to face the death you're never that far from' (includes both true death and cryo): Yes95%Wed 30 Sept
  165. Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  166. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  167. WNBA: Assists Per Game Leader: Alyssa Thomas94%Fri 9 Oct
  168. Will the worst-case ELK problem be solved by Oct 20, 2026?: No96%Wed 21 Oct
  169. Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?: No90%Thu 1 Oct
  170. Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?: No100%Wed 30 Sept
  171. Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  172. Bitcoin price reaches 75k USD at any point before the end of the month: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  173. Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  174. Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  175. Paraná Governor Election Winner: Sergio Moro84%Mon 5 Oct
  176. Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?: No86%Thu 1 Oct
  177. Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell: Kimberly Birrell69%Fri 2 Oct
  178. US Average Gas Price Is $4.600 or more on any day in September 2026?: No93%Wed 30 Sept
  179. Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026?: No98%Wed 30 Sept
  180. Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  181. Will there be a Quebec referendum in the next provincial term?: No85%Sat 3 Oct
  182. Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  183. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner: Pete Fry59%Sun 18 Oct
  184. Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?: No96%Thu 1 Oct
  185. Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Eduardo Paes78%Mon 5 Oct
  186. Will GTA 6 require more than 200gb of space on PC.: Yes71%Thu 1 Oct
  187. Will a manifolder report on the Oreo chicken burger in the next month?: No89%Sat 26 Sept
  188. Will Ye / Kanye West perform in St. Petersburg on both 10 and 11 October 2026, as planned?: No86%Sun 11 Oct
  189. Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  190. MLB: Runs Leader: Kyle Schwarber24%Fri 16 Oct
  191. Will Trump outlive DeSantis?: No92%Wed 30 Sept
  192. Will tailcalled think that the Infrabayesianism alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?: No90%Tue 20 Oct
  193. Bitcoin reaches 90k USD at any point before October: No87%Wed 30 Sept
  194. SOAI#3: Open-ended agents make a meaningful scientific discovery end-to-end (hypothesis, expt, iteration, paper).: No51%Sat 10 Oct
  195. US Average Gas Price Is $4.5500 or more on October 1 2026?: No65%Thu 1 Oct
  196. Israel military action against Lebanon on September 26?: Yes90%Sat 26 Sept
  197. Will the US sign a peace agreement based on Iran's 14-point plan before September 30, 2026?: No95%Wed 30 Sept
  198. Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  199. Apakah aptos akan naik 75% September: No75%Wed 30 Sept
  200. Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  201. Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  202. Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?: No97%Thu 1 Oct
  203. Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon97%Mon 5 Oct
  204. # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?: 60-70M81%Sat 26 Sept
  205. Will tailcalled think that the Shard Theory alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?: No88%Tue 20 Oct
  206. Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  207. Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  208. Lima Mayoral Election Winner: Rafael López Aliaga76%Mon 5 Oct
  209. Swiss federal Neutrality Initiative passes: No92%Tue 29 Sept
  210. Will Jacob Pfau think that the Eliciting Latent Knowledge research program has achieved something important by October 20, 2026?: No84%Wed 21 Oct
  211. Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  212. MLB: Most Home Runs (Team): New York Yankees87%Mon 12 Oct
  213. Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?: No87%Thu 1 Oct
  214. Did OpenAI just solve hodge??: No89%Thu 1 Oct
  215. Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?: No94%Thu 1 Oct
  216. Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  217. Will I think that the Belief State Geometry research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?: No78%Tue 20 Oct
  218. Türkiye vs. France: France77%Fri 25 Sept
  219. Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  220. Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  221. Will the 46% improvement to the nanogpt speedrun be accepted?: Yes69%Fri 9 Oct
  222. Trump renames AI by September 30?: No79%Thu 1 Oct
  223. Will bitcoin go below 9.000$ at the end of this month?: No99%Wed 30 Sept
  224. Will the silver spot price be above $75 USD on October 1st?: No91%Thu 1 Oct
  225. Bitcoin price on September 25?: 84,000-86,00071%Fri 25 Sept
  226. Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  227. Will deepseek v5 release in september 2026?: No96%Wed 30 Sept
  228. Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?: Yes99%Fri 2 Oct
  229. Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  230. Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?: No99%Thu 1 Oct
  231. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?: No98%Thu 22 Oct
  232. Will hello-lume ship a robot by the end of September 2026: No91%Wed 30 Sept
  233. US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  234. Will anyone find me a decent web archival program? [M$20,000 bounty]: No74%Tue 29 Sept
  235. Will a new US-Iran ceasefire take effect before October 1, 2026?: No95%Thu 1 Oct
  236. Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner: Luciano Zucco66%Sun 4 Oct
  237. Will my YouTube Channel have 30 subscribers before the end of September 2026?: Yes92%Wed 30 Sept
  238. US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?: No100%Thu 1 Oct
  239. Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club67%Wed 21 Oct
  240. Will Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?: No88%Thu 1 Oct
  241. 3rd Largest Company end of September?: Alphabet98%Thu 1 Oct
  242. Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?: No98%Thu 1 Oct
  243. NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?: No98%Fri 23 Oct
  244. Will I stay in masters this season?: Yes73%Thu 1 Oct
  245. #3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On): Google89%Thu 1 Oct
  246. What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?: $1.169M - $1.185M72%Wed 30 Sept
  247. Will Israel attack Iraq in September 2026?: No98%Wed 30 Sept
  248. Singapore Open: Elise Mertens vs Maja Chwalinska: Maja Chwalinska93%Fri 2 Oct
  249. US airstrikes Yemen in September?: No74%Wed 30 Sept
  250. Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?: No70%Sat 10 Oct
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.