AHEAD OF PRINT

The month ahead, reported from the odds

Printed Sunday, 27 September 2026
Edition of Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Proof · plate 1 of 1 · pulled Sun 27 Sept · not a record of events

Ahead of Print Not yet happened. These stories settle within a month — by Tuesday, 27 October 2026.

Politics

Parti Québécois won Quebec election, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon to become Premier

The PQ secured a majority while the Liberal Party placed Second

83% certain
lead market 83%next 12%1 venuesettles Mon 5 Oct3 markets behind this

The Parti Québécois won the 2026 Quebec general election on Monday. The Liberal Party finished in Second place. Party leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon was set to become Premier

Ballots were cast across the province on 5 October 2026. The result confirmed the party's lead over the Liberals.

With the most seats, the PQ was positioned to form the government. Paul St-Pierre Plamondon was set to take the Premier's office. The incumbent Premier was slated to step down.

The CAQ and the PCQ remained outside the top two. The new legislature was scheduled to convene in the coming weeks.

Analysis

The PQ's victory ends a period of Liberal dominance in provincial politics and revives the party's long-standing platform on Quebec sovereignty. Should the party pursue its traditional goals, policy direction on language and cultural affairs could shift, but the precise legislative agenda remains to be defined.

Having moved into opposition, the Liberal Party will now scrutinize the PQ government and shape debate from that position. Their ability to influence legislation will depend on their cohesion and on any alliances they may forge with smaller parties, a factor that remains uncertain.

At the federal level, a PQ government may alter Quebec's relationship with Ottawa, potentially affecting negotiations on fiscal transfers and national policies. The extent of any change will hinge on how the new Premier balances provincial aspirations with practical intergovernmental constraints.

What this was built from

Each claim above traces to a market below, at the price it was trading when this edition went to press.

Quebec General Election Winner: PQ, 98% settles Monday, 5 October 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Quebec General Election: Second Place: PLQ, 83% settles Monday, 5 October 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Next Premier of Quebec: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, 96% settles Monday, 5 October 2026 · polymarket · see the market
Back to the front page This article as Markdown
Nothing here has happened. Every story is written from prediction-market prices for events that settle within a month, then reported as though they already had.