# Éloïse Coulombe won in Charlesbourg

*Politics. 51% certain. Monday, 5 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Patrick Paquet secured Vanier-Les Rivières while other ridings saw newcomers elected.**

Monday's provincial election saw Quebecers fill seats in the National Assembly across dozens of ridings. In Charlesbourg, Éloïse Coulombe defeated Gabriel Coulombe. In Vanier-Les Rivières, Patrick Paquet won over Stéphanie Martin. The results reflected a blend of incumbents holding ground and newcomers entering the legislature.

Montarville elected Jean-François Cloutier, while Lévis chose Karine Laflamme. Maskinongé's voters selected Isabelle Blais. In the riding of Groulx, Marie-Claude Sarrazin secured the seat. These outcomes added several fresh faces to the Assembly

Alexandre Leduc emerged victorious in Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, beating Maude Brossard-Sabourin. Andrés Fontecilla captured Laurier-Dorion, unseating Randy Legault-Rankin. Benoit Clermont won Saint-Henri, Sainte-Anne against Guillaume Cliche-Rivard. Sylvie Tanguay took Saint-François, defeating multiple opponents.

Bernard Sévigny prevailed in Richmond over Hugo Fontaine and others. Pierre-Luc Brillant secured Rosemont, beating Gisèle Pouhe Njall and two rivals. Charles Page was elected in Drummond-Bois-Francs, surpassing Myriam Cournoyer and Sébastien Schneeberger. Chloé Fauchon won Louis-Hébert against Marcos Archambault.

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier captured Laviolette-Saint-Maurice, defeating Charles Paquin and Laurent Bélisle. Christian Savard took Taschereau, overcoming Étienne Grandmont, Farnell Morisset and Eliot Estévez-Verville. The vote count concluded Monday, finalising the composition of the 44th Quebec Legislature.

## Analysis

The election produced a noticeable mix of incumbents retaining their seats and newcomers gaining entry to the National Assembly, suggesting a potential shift in legislative dynamics as fresh perspectives join established voices.

A significant number of the victorious candidates are women, continuing a trend toward greater gender representation that could influence policy discussions on health, education, and social services.

Results across both urban Montreal ridings and more rural divisions show varied political currents, indicating that voter concerns differ regionally and may shape the agenda of the new Assembly

With the composition of the 44th Legislature now set, party leaders will need to assess the balance of power and negotiate alliances, which will affect the premier's capacity to advance the governing agenda and the opposition's ability to challenge it.

### Background consulted for the analysis

- [2026 Quebec general election - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Quebec_general_election)
- [Results and statistics – Élections Québec](https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/)
- [2026 provincial general election results – Élections Québec](https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/provincial-general-elections-live-results/)
- [2022 Quebec general election - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Quebec_general_election)
- [Current and upcoming elections – Élections Québec](https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/vote/current-and-upcoming-elections/)

## What this was built from

- **Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Sylvie Tanguay, 71%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/saint-francois-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Pierre-Luc Brillant, 70%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/rosemont-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Bernard Sévigny, 70%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/richmond-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Alexandre Leduc, 84%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/hochelaga-maisonneuve-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Isabelle Blais, 87%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/maskinonge-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Patrick Paquet, 94%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/vanier-les-rivieres-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Charles Page, 68%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/drummond-bois-francs-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Éloïse Coulombe, 95%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/charlesbourg-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Taschereau Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Christian Savard, 51%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/taschereau-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Benoit Clermont, 73%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/saint-henri-sainte-anne-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Frédéric Côté, 89%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/la-prairie-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Frédéric Poulin, 84%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/cote-du-sud-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Chloé Fauchon, 64%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/louis-hebert-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Karine Laflamme, 90%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/levis-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Jean-François Cloutier, 94%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/montarville-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Andrés Fontecilla, 82%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/laurier-dorion-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Élodie Murphy-Gauthier, 64%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/laviolette-saint-maurice-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)
- **Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner**: Marie-Claude Sarrazin, 86%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/groulx-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner)