# Colts covered Spread in win over Commanders

*Sports. 51% certain. Sunday, 4 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Eagles lost to Rams while Steelers beat Browns on Thursday Night**

The Indianapolis Colts covered the -3.5 point Spread in their week 4 victory over the Washington Commanders. The Philadelphia Eagles fell short of beating the Los Angeles Rams by three points or more. The Pittsburgh Steelers edged the Cleveland Browns by three points or more on Thursday Night Football.

The Colts defeated the Commanders on Sunday, October 4. They covered the three-and-a-half point Spread that had listed Indianapolis as the favorite. The Spread had listed Indianapolis as a three-point favorite.

The Eagles faced the Rams on Sunday, October 4. They did not win by three points or more. The result left the Eagles short of the three-point margin.

The Steelers played the Browns on Thursday Night, October 2. They beat Cleveland by three points or more. The outcome satisfied the three-point margin condition.

The three week 4 contests concluded on Sunday and Thursday of the opening week. The Colts covered their Spread while the Eagles missed theirs. The Steelers met the three-point margin in their Thursday Night game.

## Analysis

Conversely, the Colts and Steelers can view their results as validation of current strategies, though early-season results remain a small sample.

Because the season is only in its fourth week, the mixed outcomes keep division standings fluid and do not yet define playoff trajectories. Future games will be needed to determine whether the Colts and Steelers can sustain their margins and whether the Eagles can reverse their shortfall, leaving the remainder of the campaign open to change.

## What this was built from

- **Spread: Colts (-3.5)**: Colts, 56%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ind-was-2026-10-04)
- **Colts vs. Commanders**: Colts, 65%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ind-was-2026-10-04)
- **NFL Week 4: Will the Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Los Angeles Rams by 3 or more points in Week 4?**: No, 65%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/Web3ICP/will-the-philadelphia-eagles-defeat-uU2sznlI6P)
- **NFL Week 4: Will the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Cleveland Browns by 3 or more points on Thursday Night Football?**: Yes, 51%; settles Friday, 2 October 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/Web3ICP/will-the-pittsburgh-steelers-beat-t-RqytgAz50p)