# Likud secured 25-29 seats and paved way for Eizenkot

*Politics. 44% certain. Wednesday, 28 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Gadi Eizenkot was designated Prime Minister following the election.**

On Wednesday 28 October the Israeli Legislative election concluded with Likud emerging as the winner. The party secured a parliamentary bloc ranging between 25 and 29 seats. This result opened the path for Gadi Eizenkot to assume the premiership.

The final tally placed Likud well above the sub-20 threshold that would have forced a new coalition. It also fell short of the 30-34 band that would have given the party a more comfortable majority. The 25-29 range positioned Likud as the largest single faction but without an outright majority.

Eizenkot, a former chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces, was slated to lead the new government. His appointment reflected Likud's internal decision after the election.

The result finalized the makeup of the 26th Knesset. The incoming administration listed Gadi Eizenkot as Prime Minister Likud's seat count made it the largest faction in the chamber.

## Analysis

With Likud holding between 25 and 29 seats, the party lacks a clear majority in the 120-member Knesset. To form a stable government it will have to negotiate coalition agreements with one or more smaller parties, a process that can shape policy concessions and cabinet composition.

Gadi Eizenkot's elevation to Prime Minister introduces a former military chief into civilian leadership. His background suggests a potential emphasis on security and defense issues, while his relative distance from veteran politicians may affect internal party dynamics and public perception.

How Likud assembles its partners will determine the government's stance on domestic reforms, foreign policy, and the broader regional environment, though the exact configuration remains uncertain.

### Background consulted for the analysis

- [2022 Israeli legislative election - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Israeli_legislative_election)
- [2026 Israeli legislative election - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Israeli_legislative_election)
- [Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Israeli_legislative_election)
- [Predictmarketcap](https://predictmarketcap.com/events/israeli-legislative-election-winner)

## What this was built from

- **Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?**: Gadi Eizenkot, 44%; settles Wednesday, 28 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election)
- **Israeli Legislative Election Winner**: Likud, 51%; settles Wednesday, 28 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-winner)
- **Israel Election: Likud # of seats?**: 25-29, 49%; settles Wednesday, 28 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-likud-of-seats)