# European Central Bank raises interest rates

*Economics. 96% certain. Wednesday, 9 September 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**25%**

25% or more in September.

This decision was made on Wednesday.

## Analysis

The increase in interest rates will affect borrowing costs and may impact economic growth.

The decision's impact on the economy will depend on various factors, including how the rate change is implemented and received by markets.

## What this was built from

- **European Central Bank interest rate decision in September**: Rise by 0.25% or more, 96%; settles Wednesday, 9 September 2026 (futuur). [Market](https://futuur.com/q/242169/european-central-bank-interest-rate-decision-in-september)