# Verity opened to $33 million while Digger earned under $17 million

*Culture. 36% certain. Saturday, 10 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Resident Evil held $11-12 million in its third Weekend and the Community movie scored below 75 on Metacritic.**

Early-October releases showed a sharp contrast in performance. The adventure drama Digger opened to less than $17 million, while the thriller Verity debuted with earnings between $32 million and $34 million. At the same time, the long-running Resident Evil franchise earned $11 million to $12 million in its third Weekend Critical reception was muted, with Digger receiving a Rotten Tomatoes score below 53 and the Community movie falling short of a 75 Metacritic rating.

Digger's Opening Weekend failed to reach the $17 million threshold, marking it as the weakest among the new titles. Its Rotten Tomatoes rating did not meet the 53-point benchmark, indicating a lukewarm critical response. The combination of modest earnings and low scores suggested limited audience appeal.

Verity opened to a robust $32 million to $34 million, placing it at the top of the Weekend's Box Office Its performance demonstrated the audience's appetite for the genre.

Resident Evil earned between $11 million and $12 million in its third Weekend, showing steady continuation after its debut. The consistency kept the franchise within the mid-million range for the period. The figures indicated the series retained a solid fan base.

The Community movie's Metacritic score fell short of the 75-point mark, reflecting mixed reviews. Despite its ensemble cast, the rating suggested critics were not uniformly impressed. The result contrasted with the Higher scores achieved by other releases in the same window.

## Analysis

The divergent Box-Office results illustrate how early-October releases can split audience attention. Digger's weak earnings and low critic score likely strain the studio's short-term revenue expectations, especially given its high-profile lead actor.

Verity's strong Opening provides a counterpoint, confirming demand for its genre and potentially influencing distributors to prioritize similar projects in the upcoming schedule.

This stability often supports decisions to continue investing in sequels or related media.

Mixed reviews may dampen word-of-mouth promotion, affecting longer-term Box-Office legs and home-entertainment performance, though the exact impact remains uncertain.

### Background consulted for the analysis

- [Digger Box Office: Tom Cruise Movie Opens as Warner Bros. Chiefs Exit](https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/digger-box-office-tom-cruise-previews-warner-bros-verity-1236720902/)
- [‘Digger’: Tom Cruise Film Eyes Dismal $10 Million Opening Weekend At Box Office](https://www.forbes.com/sites/timlammers/2026/10/02/digger-tom-cruise-film-eyes-dismal-10-million-opening-weekend-at-box-office/)
- [Tom Cruise's Digger Poised for a Disastrous Box Office Opening](https://www.thewrap.com/industry-news/box-office/tom-cruise-digger-box-office-tracking-opening-weekend/)
- ['Digger' Box Office: Tom Cruise Movies Earns Just $1.2 Million in Previews, Opening Weekend Projection Revealed | Just Jared - Celebrity News, Entertainment News & Photos](https://www.justjared.com/2026/10/02/digger-box-office-tom-cruise-movies-earns-just-1-2-million-in-previews-opening-weekend-projection-revealed/)

## What this was built from

- **"Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office**: <17m, 98%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/digger-opening-weekend-box-office)
- **"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office**: 28m+, 98%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/verity-opening-weekend-box-office)
- **"Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)**: <9m, 90%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/digger-opening-weekend-box-office-lower-strikes)
- **Will "Digger" score at least 53 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?**: No, 80%; settles Monday, 5 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/digger-rotten-tomatoes-score-20261005)
- **Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?**: No, 74%; settles Saturday, 10 October 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-the-community-movie-get-a-75-o)
- **"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)**: 32-34m, 47%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/verity-opening-weekend-box-office-higher-strikes)
- **"Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office**: 11-12m, 36%; settles Sunday, 4 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/resident-evil-3rd-weekend-box-office)