# Bank of England raised rates as Japan and Australia held steady

*Economics. 81% certain. Thursday, 5 November 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**The Bank of England lifted rates by 25 basis points while the Bank of Japan and Reserve Bank of Australia kept policy steady.**

On Thursday, the Bank of England increased its policy rate by 25 basis points. The move came as central banks in the Asia-Pacific region maintained their settings. The Bank of Japan left its rate unchanged on Friday. The Reserve Bank of Australia also kept policy steady on Wednesday.

The decision was announced at the BoE's monetary policy meeting. The modest increase aimed to curb inflation pressures. The BoE cited recent economic data in its justification.

The Bank of Japan's policy meeting concluded on Friday, 30 October. The decision reflected continued concerns about deflationary risks.

The Reserve Bank of Australia met on Wednesday, 4 November. It left its cash rate unchanged. The RBA highlighted stable employment and inflation near target as reasons.

## Analysis

The divergent actions suggest differing domestic pressures: the UK saw enough momentum to justify a modest hike, while Japan and Australia judged their economies stable enough to pause.

For the United Kingdom, the 25-basis-point increase may tighten financial conditions, potentially slowing consumer spending and investment, but also signalling a commitment to containing price growth.

Japan's unchanged stance indicates persistent deflationary concerns, and Australia's steady rate reflects confidence that inflation remains anchored, limiting the need for further tightening in the near term.

## What this was built from

- **Bank of England decision in November?**: 25 bps increase, 89%; settles Thursday, 5 November 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-england-decision-in-november-20260730150602252)
- **Bank of Japan Decision in October?**: No change, 96%; settles Friday, 30 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-japan-decision-in-october-20260731151537)
- **Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November**: No change, 81%; settles Wednesday, 4 November 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-november)