# Xavier Becerra elected governor of California

*Politics. 72% certain. Wednesday, 4 November 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**Judy Chu won re-election in the 28th district and voters rejected the Billionaire wealth tax.**

California voters chose Xavier Becerra as governor on Wednesday. In the 28th congressional district, Judy Chu secured another term. A proposed one-time tax on billionaires failed to pass.

Becerra won the governor's race, beating Steve Hilton, Tom Steyer and Chad Bianco. The contest was decided on Wednesday, November 4. His victory was certified alongside other statewide outcomes on Wednesday.

Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu defeated Republican April Verlato to retain the 28th district seat. The House race was finalized on Wednesday, November 4. Her re-election was recorded together with the governor's race and the wealth-tax referendum.

Voters said no to the one-time Billionaire wealth tax proposal. The initiative aimed at taxing billionaires did not receive majority support.

## Analysis

Becerra's experience leading the federal health department may steer California toward more aggressive public-health initiatives, especially as the state confronts ongoing pandemic recovery and health-care affordability challenges.

Chu's continued representation preserves Democratic control of the 28th district, allowing her to pursue the policy priorities she has championed, such as immigration reform and infrastructure investment, without interruption.

### Background consulted for the analysis

- [California Governor Primary Election 2026 Live Results](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-primary-elections/california-governor-results)
- [2026 California gubernatorial election - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_gubernatorial_election)
- [California gubernatorial election, 2026 - Ballotpedia](https://ballotpedia.org/California_gubernatorial_election,_2026)
- [California Governor (General Election)](https://www.multistate.us/elections/governor?st=CA)
- [2026 Billionaire Tax Act: California Wealth Tax Ballot Initiative](https://taxfoundation.org/research/state-tax/billionaire-tax-act-california-wealth-tax-ballot-measure/)
- [2026 California Proposition 40 - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_Proposition_40)

## What this was built from

- **California Governor Election Winner**: Xavier Becerra, 92%; settles Wednesday, 4 November 2026 (polymarket, futuur). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026)
- **CA-28 House Election Winner**: Judy Chu (D), 89%; settles Wednesday, 4 November 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/ca-28-house-election-winner)
- **Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?**: No, 72%; settles Wednesday, 4 November 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/billionaire-one-time-wealth-tax-passes-in-california-election-2026)