# Republicans held 22 to 23 governorships after 2026 Midterms

*Politics. 33% certain. Thursday, 5 November 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**The 2026 Midterms went ahead, keeping marijuana unscheduled, while Trump offered no endorsements.**

The 2026 congressional and gubernatorial elections concluded on November 5 without interruption. Voters returned a modest Republican advantage among the states, with the party controlling 22 to 23 governorships. At the federal level, the elections proceeded as scheduled, and no changes were made to the federal schedule for marijuana.

Republicans secured a narrow majority of state executive offices, ending the cycle with 22 to 23 Governors The tally reflected modest gains rather than a sweeping wave. The election calendar remained intact, as no delay or suspension was announced before November 3.

Federal policymakers left cannabis classification unchanged throughout the campaign season. The drug remained unscheduled at the federal level after the Midterms

Former President Trump did not issue an endorsement for Texas Senator John Cornyn before the November 2 deadline. Likewise, Senator Bernie Sanders refrained from endorsing Democratic challenger James Talarico. Elon Musk also did not provide significant financial backing to any third-party ticket during the Midterms

The estimate stayed below the threshold that would have signaled a surge. Consequently, the border issue did not dominate the post-election analysis.

## Analysis

The modest Republican governor majority signals that while the party retained influence over state administrations, it did not achieve a decisive wave that could reshape policy agendas across the country.

The uninterrupted conduct of the midterm elections reinforces the resilience of the electoral timetable amid concerns about potential disruptions. By keeping marijuana unscheduled, federal legislators avoided a contentious policy shift that could have sparked partisan battles and affected campaign narratives, especially in states where cannabis reform is a prominent issue.

The absence of high-profile endorsements from former President Trump and Senator Bernie Sanders suggests that traditional party figures did not seek to sway the outcomes in closely watched races such as the Texas Senate contest.

Uncertainty remains about future enforcement policies and the extent to which the administration will address border security without a clear surge in illegal crossings.

### Background consulted for the analysis

- [Political activities of Elon Musk - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_activities_of_Elon_Musk)
- [Elon Musk is ready to buy the midterms. That leads to questions Republicans need to answer.](https://www.ms.now/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/elon-musk-super-pac-america-republicans-midterm-elections-gop-ads)
- [Elon Musk PAC ramps up midterms spending to help Republicans](https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2026/09/25/elon-musk-pac-ramps-up-midterms-spending-to-help-republicans/91938245007/)
- [Elon Musk is flying under the radar in the Texas Senate race. Republicans want to keep it that way.](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/elon-musk-texas-senate-race-republicans-rcna596670)

## What this was built from

- **How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?**: 22–23, 33%; settles Wednesday, 4 November 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections)
- **If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?**: No, 94%; settles Tuesday, 3 November 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/BlueDragon/if-trump-wins-will-marijuana-be-fed)
- **U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026**: No, 97%; settles Monday, 2 November 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/jgyou/us-federal-government-announces-del)
- **Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?**: No, 98%; settles Wednesday, 4 November 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-endorse)
- **If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?**: No, 91%; settles Saturday, 31 October 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/Shump/if-trump-wins-will-there-be-more-th)
- **Elon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?**: No, 99%; settles Thursday, 5 November 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/elon-musk-significantly-backs-a-thi)
- **Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?**: No, 77%; settles Tuesday, 3 November 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-bernie-endorse)