# None of the listed economists won the 2026 Nobel in Economics

*Science. 79% certain. Tuesday, 13 October 2026*

> Speculative fiction assembled from prediction-market prices. This has not happened.

**In addition, no woman received a Nobel Prize in any of the four fields this year.**

The 2026 Nobel Prizes were awarded without any of the highlighted economists receiving the Economics honor. None of the listed scholars, Andreu Mas-Colell, Demian Reidel, Javier Milei, Matthew Rabin, Partha Dasgupta, Ernst Fehr, Lawrence Katz, Richard Blundell, Susan Athey, Michael Woodford, David Autor and Ariel Pakes, were named laureates. In addition, no woman was honored in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine or Economics

Each of the twelve economists was considered a leading candidate before the announcements. On Tuesday, 13 October, the outcome was confirmed that none of them secured the Prize Their contributions span game theory, labor Economics, development Economics and behavioral Economics, yet the award went elsewhere.

The Nobel committees for the four scientific categories concluded without selecting a female laureate. This result applies uniformly across Physics, Chemistry, Medicine and Economics

Among the economists listed, Susan Athey would have been the sole female candidate, but the Economics Prize did not go to any woman. The broader gender outcome mirrors the Economics result. Both determinations were made before the final announcement week concluded.

The final confirmation of the Economics Prize arrived a day after the gender outcome was recorded. Both sets of results were part of the same award cycle. The Nobel committees concluded their deliberations without awarding any of the highlighted individuals.

## Analysis

The absence of any of the named economists from the 2026 laureate list suggests that the Nobel Committee prioritized different strands of economic research this cycle.

The simultaneous lack of a female laureate across Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, and Economics highlights an ongoing gender gap in the highest scientific honors.

Stakeholders in academia and research funding bodies may interpret the results as a signal to broaden the pool of candidates they support. Universities might adjust mentorship and sponsorship programs to ensure a more diverse set of scholars reaches the visibility required for Nobel consideration, while funding agencies could reassess criteria that inadvertently favor established networks.

Uncertainty remains about how these patterns will evolve in future award cycles. While the 2026 decisions reflect current committee preferences, the longer-term trajectory of gender balance and disciplinary focus will depend on broader changes in research funding, publication practices, and the composition of the Nobel selection committees themselves.

### Background consulted for the analysis

- [Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026 Odds | GoBull](https://gobull.ai/asset/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- [2026 Nobel Prize winners | List & Facts | Britannica](https://www.britannica.com/topic/2026-Nobel-Prize-winners)
- [Nobel Prize 2026 Winners | Full List](https://www.thehindu.com/infographics/2026-10-06/nobel-prize-2026-winners-full-list/index.html)
- [All Nobel Prizes 2026 - NobelPrize.org](https://www.nobelprize.org/all-nobel-prizes-2026/)

## What this was built from

- **Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 81%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 90%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 95%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 90%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Javier Milei win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 98%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 94%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Andreu Mas-Colell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 99%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 97%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, or Economics?**: No, 79%; settles Monday, 12 October 2026 (manifold). [Market](https://manifold.markets/Terminator2/will-a-woman-win-the-2026-nobel-pri)
- **Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 90%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 82%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Demian Reidel win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 99%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 95%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)
- **Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?**: No, 93%; settles Tuesday, 13 October 2026 (polymarket). [Market](https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026)